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美国“印太”战略的内涵、困境与中国的应对

作者:刘鹏 朱翠萍 出版日期:2018年06月 报告页数:31 页 报告大小: 报告字数:33160 字 所属丛书:印度洋地区蓝皮书 所属图书:印度洋地区发展报告(2018) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:以中国和印度为代表的东方国家的群体性崛起使世界的重心正在发生转移,顺应这一形势,以海洋为主要边界的印太地区成为各国博弈的中心舞台。印太也迅速从地理概念转化为地缘现实并进入各国的战略。美国的“印太”战略的名称可能会随着特朗普政权的更替而发生改变,但美国“印太”战略的核心内容并不会改变,即防止在印太地区出现威胁美国霸权的力量,通过加强现有同盟、创建新同盟的方式遏制中国的快速崛起。当前美国的“印太”战略就是在奥巴马政府原有的“亚太再平衡”的... 展开

文章摘要:以中国和印度为代表的东方国家的群体性崛起使世界的重心正在发生转移,顺应这一形势,以海洋为主要边界的印太地区成为各国博弈的中心舞台。印太也迅速从地理概念转化为地缘现实并进入各国的战略。美国的“印太”战略的名称可能会随着特朗普政权的更替而发生改变,但美国“印太”战略的核心内容并不会改变,即防止在印太地区出现威胁美国霸权的力量,通过加强现有同盟、创建新同盟的方式遏制中国的快速崛起。当前美国的“印太”战略就是在奥巴马政府原有的“亚太再平衡”的基础上,按照现实主义和冷战思维建立起的美国—印太、美国—南亚、美国—印度三个同心圆。国内讨论甚多的澳、印、日、美四国同盟可能并不会真正建立,但美国增加在印太的军事存在、在印太通过结盟而建立的双边和多边网络却正在发生。美国以建立“自由开放的印太”为目标的印太秩序事实上是针对中国的一个排他性制度设计,将会对我国的“一带一路”倡议、印太海洋合作产生直接的影响。为此,我国在审慎坚韧地推进“一带一路”倡议实施的同时,应支持东盟主导印太的制度设计,支持在现有东亚峰会的基础上建立开放性的印太制度安排。

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Abstract:The world center is transforming due that eastern countries such as China and India are becoming strong by group,comply with this trend,“Indo-Pacific” region with ocean as the boundary is becoming the multi-counties’ gaming center. “Indo-Pacific” is quickly from geographic concept to geographic practice and are taking seriously in all countries’ strategies. The US’s “Indo-Pacific” name may change with the Trump government,... 展开

Abstract:The world center is transforming due that eastern countries such as China and India are becoming strong by group,comply with this trend,“Indo-Pacific” region with ocean as the boundary is becoming the multi-counties’ gaming center. “Indo-Pacific” is quickly from geographic concept to geographic practice and are taking seriously in all countries’ strategies. The US’s “Indo-Pacific” name may change with the Trump government,but its strategic core will not change,that is to say,to prevent any power may threats America’s hegemony in “Indo-Pacific” region,through the existed ally,and new ally to prevent China’s quickly growth. The now US’s “Indo-Pacific” strategy is from Obama government’s “Asia-Pacific Rebalance” strategy,based on realism and cold war ideology to build three concentric circles:“US-Indo-Pacific”,“US-South Asia”,“US-India”. What the country discusses a lot is that Australia-India-Japan-US,the four countries ally will not achieve in practice,but the US’s military existence and bilateral and multilateral networks by ally in “Indo-Pacific” are becoming practiced. The “Indo-Pacific” order aims at “Free and Open Indo-Pacific” is in practice a design of mechanism to exclude China,will influence China’s “One Belt and One Road” and “Indo-Pacific” region’s ocean cooperation directly. For this,while pushing “One Belt and One Road” carefully and toughly,we should support East Asia’s dominated “Indo-Pacific” mechanism design,and support the existed opening “Indo-Pacific” mechanism arrangement in the East Asia Summit,these should be the main contents of “China-Indo-Pacific” strategy.

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作者简介

刘鹏:刘鹏,博士,云南财经大学印度洋地区研究中心副教授、硕士生导师。