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上海合作组织自由贸易区前景展望

作者:刘华芹 出版日期:2017年06月 报告页数:15 页 报告大小: 报告字数:10818 字 所属丛书:上海合作组织黄皮书 所属图书:上海合作组织发展报告(2017) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:本文回顾了2016年上合组织区域经济合作取得的成效。采用GTAP模型对于扩员后的上合组织,包括印度和巴基斯坦在内8个成员国推进贸易便利化与自由化前景进行了预测,结果显示,推进区域贸易便利化将使成员国普遍受益,中亚国家和巴基斯坦尤其突出。而建立上合组织自由贸易区将产生更为可观的经济效益。因此,各成员国应摒弃偏见,携手推动区域贸易投资自由化进程,使区域经济合作的成果造福各国百姓。

Abstract:This paper reviews the results of the regional economic cooperation of the SCO in 2016. The author used the GTAP model to predicte prospects of 8 member countries of the expanded SCO including India and Pakistan in promoting trade facilitation and liberalization. The results showed that the promotion of regional trade facilitation would benefit member states in general especially the Central Asian countries and Pakistan,and the estab... 展开

Abstract:This paper reviews the results of the regional economic cooperation of the SCO in 2016. The author used the GTAP model to predicte prospects of 8 member countries of the expanded SCO including India and Pakistan in promoting trade facilitation and liberalization. The results showed that the promotion of regional trade facilitation would benefit member states in general especially the Central Asian countries and Pakistan,and the establishment of free trade zone of the SCO would produce more substantial economic benefits. Therefore,the member states should abandon the prejudice and join hands to promote the process of liberalization of regional trade and investment to benefit the people of all countries with the fruits of regional economic cooperation.

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作者简介

刘华芹:刘华芹,商务部国际贸易经济合作研究院研究员。