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难民危机对于德国政治、经济与社会的影响

作者:伍慧萍 出版日期:2016年06月 报告页数:27 页 报告大小: 报告字数:26103 字 所属丛书:德国蓝皮书 所属图书:德国发展报告(2016) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:当前的难民危机极大地冲击了德国,带来的影响既有短期的,也有中长期的;既有国内国际政治层面的,也有经济与社会领域的。在政治领域,民意指向、政党力量对比和政府政策不断变化调整,德国与欧盟其他国家的关系也发生了变化,在欧洲一体化中的地位和作用出现了欧债危机以来的新动向;在社会领域,难民的到来可望在短期缓解德国老龄化趋势,但难民的文化适应与融合将成为长期而又艰巨的任务;在经济领域,德国对难民安置与融入的巨额投入拉动了经济增长和扩大了内需,但大... 展开

文章摘要:当前的难民危机极大地冲击了德国,带来的影响既有短期的,也有中长期的;既有国内国际政治层面的,也有经济与社会领域的。在政治领域,民意指向、政党力量对比和政府政策不断变化调整,德国与欧盟其他国家的关系也发生了变化,在欧洲一体化中的地位和作用出现了欧债危机以来的新动向;在社会领域,难民的到来可望在短期缓解德国老龄化趋势,但难民的文化适应与融合将成为长期而又艰巨的任务;在经济领域,德国对难民安置与融入的巨额投入拉动了经济增长和扩大了内需,但大量难民的到来可能会引发难民与本土国民之间在公共资源领域的分配冲突。德国对于难民的接纳是“双刃剑”,机遇与挑战并存。难民政策的调整以及与之相关的国内安全问题将成为今后相当长时间内德国民众最关心的议题和政府工作重点。

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Abstract:Refugee crisis in Europe greatly impacted Germany with short-term and long-term influence,on domestic as well as on international political level,in the political as well as economic and social fields. In the political field,the public opinion,the balance of power between political parties and government policies have undergone continuous adjustments,while the relationship between Germany and other EU countries also changed,its ... 展开

Abstract:Refugee crisis in Europe greatly impacted Germany with short-term and long-term influence,on domestic as well as on international political level,in the political as well as economic and social fields. In the political field,the public opinion,the balance of power between political parties and government policies have undergone continuous adjustments,while the relationship between Germany and other EU countries also changed,its status and role in the European integration showed a new trend since the European debt crisis;in the social field,the arrival of refugees was expected to relieve Germany’s ageing trend on a short-term basis,but cultural adaptation and integration of refugees would become a long-term arduous task;in the economic field,the huge investment that Germany had for refugee resettlement and integration stimulated economic growth and domestic demand,but the influx of refugees might lead to conflicts in the allocation of public resources between refugees and the local nationals. Germany’s acceptance of refugees is a double-edged sword where opportunities and challenges coexisted. The adjustment of the refugee policy and the related domestic security issues will top the government agenda for quite a long time and remain the main concern of the public.

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作者简介

伍慧萍:伍慧萍,博士,同济大学德国问题研究所/欧盟研究所教授、德国研究中心研究员。