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后危机背景下德国经济表现和政策演化

作者:丁纯 李君扬 出版日期:2015年05月 报告页数:23 页 报告大小: 报告字数:20330 字 所属丛书:德国蓝皮书 所属图书:德国发展报告(2015) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:后危机背景下,德国经济的表现总体健康,体现在经济持续增长、就业继续改善、物价平稳、预算平衡且公共债务降低上。然而,健康表象的背后也显现某些不安状况,如对外贸易略显疲态、经济面临下行风险、通缩苗头初露等。在此背景下,德国政府实施了一系列的经济政策调整,主要是继续实施“工业4.0”战略、推出数字化议程、完善能源政策、改革养老金制度、推行最低工资制等。这些措施对于促进德国经济增长和改善收入分配不公平具有积极的作用,但也蕴含着潜在风险,如增加养... 展开

文章摘要:后危机背景下,德国经济的表现总体健康,体现在经济持续增长、就业继续改善、物价平稳、预算平衡且公共债务降低上。然而,健康表象的背后也显现某些不安状况,如对外贸易略显疲态、经济面临下行风险、通缩苗头初露等。在此背景下,德国政府实施了一系列的经济政策调整,主要是继续实施“工业4.0”战略、推出数字化议程、完善能源政策、改革养老金制度、推行最低工资制等。这些措施对于促进德国经济增长和改善收入分配不公平具有积极的作用,但也蕴含着潜在风险,如增加养老金支出可能危及整个体系的可持续性等。

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Abstract:After the period of European Sovereign Debt crisis,the German economy performs healthily:Economic growth is sustainable;employment continues to improve;prices are stable,fiscal budget is balanced and public debt decreases. However,some unrest appears behind healthy appearances,such as slight weakness of foreign trade;downside risks of economy;signs of deflation,etc. Under this background,the German government has implemente... 展开

Abstract:After the period of European Sovereign Debt crisis,the German economy performs healthily:Economic growth is sustainable;employment continues to improve;prices are stable,fiscal budget is balanced and public debt decreases. However,some unrest appears behind healthy appearances,such as slight weakness of foreign trade;downside risks of economy;signs of deflation,etc. Under this background,the German government has implemented a series of economic policy adjustment:further promotion of industry 4.0, introduction of digital agenda,improvement of the energy policy,reform of the pension system,implementation of the minimum wage,etc. These measures have a positive effect on promoting economic growth and improving unfair income distribution in Germany,but they also contain the potential risks,such as increasing pensions may threaten the sustainability of the whole welfare system,etc.

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作者简介

丁纯:丁纯,复旦大学经济学院教授、欧盟让·莫内教授、复旦大学欧洲问题研究中心主任。

李君扬:李君扬,复旦大学经济学院博士研究生。