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日本的财政困境及原因再考——基于政治经济学的视角

作者:李彬 出版日期:2012年05月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11878 字 所属丛书:日本经济蓝皮书 所属图书:日本经济与中日经贸关系发展报告(2012) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2011年,标准普尔、穆迪和惠誉三大信用评级机构纷纷下调和意欲下调日本主权信用评级,越滚越大的债务雪球,加之潜藏的隐性债务危机暴露出日本财政恶化难题积重难返。基于政治经济学的视角考量日本深陷财政困境的政治性因素,认为主要在于国会扭曲、频繁换相、政府当局互不信任、官僚主导型政治体系下对公共支出的浪费以及地方财政的政治保守主义。

Abstract:Recently, Standard & Poor, Moody and Fitch—three major credit rating agencies—all have downgraded or intend to downgrade Japan sovereign credit rating. The fiscal deterioration problem of Japan, which has been disclosed by the bigger and bigger debt snowball plus the potential implicit debt crisis, appears to be too difficult to solve. In the perspective of political economy, Congress distortion, frequent change of prime minister, m... 展开

Abstract:Recently, Standard & Poor, Moody and Fitch—three major credit rating agencies—all have downgraded or intend to downgrade Japan sovereign credit rating. The fiscal deterioration problem of Japan, which has been disclosed by the bigger and bigger debt snowball plus the potential implicit debt crisis, appears to be too difficult to solve. In the perspective of political economy, Congress distortion, frequent change of prime minister, mutual distrust between government authorities, waste of public spending under bureaucratic dominant political system and political conservatism of local finance are considered as the important political factors that should be responsible for the deep fiscal trouble, which is hard for Japan to get rid of.

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作者简介

李彬:经济学博士,辽宁大学日本研究所副研究员,全国日本经济学会理事,主要研究领域:日本经济。