2013年中东地区经济发展

Abstract:The Middle East economy in 2013 has suffered from the negative factors both in and out of the region，such as the weak demand of global energy，the prolonged period of sluggish global growth，the prospect of reduced monetary accommodation in the United States，the civil war in Syria and unstabitity in Egypt and their spillover effects in the whole region，the domestic political problems of the transitional countries. On the one hand，after several years of strong performance，the falls of oil production and oil income occur simultaneously for the first time since the global crisis in MENA oil exporters，this makes half of them unable to balance their budgets；on the other hand，the high security concerns，rising political unstability within many MENA oil importers continue to impede a recovery in investment and economic activity. As the consequence，the sluggish performance in the Middle East with growth of 2.4% in 2013 will be significantly below the growth rates necessary to reduce the region’s persistent high unemployment and improve living standards，thus reinforces delays in the economic recovery，and potentially leads to a risk of vicious cycle of economic stagnation and persistent sociopolitical strife in the region.

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