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全球地缘冲突与军事形势评估(2023~2024)

作者:徐进 薄荣康 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2025) 图书作者:中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所 张宇燕 邹治波 出版时间:2025年01月 所属丛书:
报告字数:18274字 报告页数:22页 浏览人数: 下载次数:

文章摘要:2023~2024年度全球地缘冲突的特点是冲突数量再创新高,大国竞争加重了武装冲突的地缘政治色彩,国家内部战争向国际化扩散的趋势更加明显。2023年有四起冲突被归类为重大武装冲突,分别是缅甸内战、苏丹内战、巴以冲突和俄乌冲突。受全球地缘冲突增多的影响,2023~2024年世界主要军事大国军事演习的规模和次数有所增加,军事演习的目标国家更具针对性。军费开支方面,2023年全球军费开支连续第九年增加,创历史新高,美国和中国仍然是目前全球军费开支最大的两个国家。国... 展开

文章摘要:2023~2024年度全球地缘冲突的特点是冲突数量再创新高,大国竞争加重了武装冲突的地缘政治色彩,国家内部战争向国际化扩散的趋势更加明显。2023年有四起冲突被归类为重大武装冲突,分别是缅甸内战、苏丹内战、巴以冲突和俄乌冲突。受全球地缘冲突增多的影响,2023~2024年世界主要军事大国军事演习的规模和次数有所增加,军事演习的目标国家更具针对性。军费开支方面,2023年全球军费开支连续第九年增加,创历史新高,美国和中国仍然是目前全球军费开支最大的两个国家。国防战略层面,地缘政治的回归导致传统安全威胁在国防战略中的重要性上升,世界主要军事大国的国防战略更具针对性。随着信息技术与网络技术的发展,各国国防战略都新增对新兴技术的研发和探索,加强新兴领域军事布局。

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Abstract:The global geopolitical conflicts in 2023-2024 will be characterized by a new high increase in the number of conflicts. The competition among major powers has aggravated the geopolitical color of global armed conflicts,and the trend of internal wars in countries spreading to the internationalization has become more obvious. In 2023,four conflicts were classified as major armed conflicts,namely the Myanmar Civil War,the Sudanese Ci... 展开

Abstract:The global geopolitical conflicts in 2023-2024 will be characterized by a new high increase in the number of conflicts. The competition among major powers has aggravated the geopolitical color of global armed conflicts,and the trend of internal wars in countries spreading to the internationalization has become more obvious. In 2023,four conflicts were classified as major armed conflicts,namely the Myanmar Civil War,the Sudanese Civil War,the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict,and the Russian-Ukrainian Conflict. Affected by the increase in global geopolitical conflicts,the scale and number of military exercises of the world’s major military powers increased in 2023-2024,and the targets of military exercises were more targeted. In terms of military expenditure,global military expenditure will increase for the ninth consecutive year in 2023,reaching a record high. The United States and China are still the two countries with the largest military expenditure in the world. At the level of national defense strategy,the return of geopolitics has led to the rise in the importance of traditional security threats in national defense strategy,and the national defense strategies of the world’s major military powers are more targeted. With the development of information technology and network technology,national defense strategies have shown the research and development and exploration of emerging technologies,strengthening military deployment in emerging fields.

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作者简介

徐进:徐进,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,主要研究领域为国际关系理论和国际安全问题。

薄荣康:薄荣康,中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院2021级博士生。

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