2023年和2024年德国内政外交的发展趋势

Abstract:2023 was a challenging year for the “traffic light” coalition government led by Chancellor Scholz. Germany，once the economic engine of Europe，became the only developed economy with no growth，triggering a discussion on whether the German economic boom model was coming to an end. The Scholz government put forward a “10-point plan for Germany as a business hub”，but due to，among other reasons，budgetary constraints a significant effect of these measures has yet to materialize. The Russia-Ukraine conflict has caused a dramatic transformation of Germany’s foreign，security and defense policies. In this situation Germany launched the first National Security Strategy in its history. Having learned a hard lesson in the Russia-Ukraine conflict，the government emphasized in its Strategy on China the need to reduce Germany’s strategic dependence on China. The government wants to be more active in international affairs，but is hampered by the challenge of balancing，in its foreign policy，economic interests with values while at the same time dealing with internal divisions among the three coalition parties. As strife between the three governing coalition parties became public，the people’s dissatisfaction with the Scholz government continued to rise. Against the backdrop of the setbacks suffered in the June 2024 European Parliament election，the three parties will inevitably try to project their own image within the coalition government even more，thus further increasing the difficulties of the Scholz government. Looking ahead to the Bundestag election in September 2025，how to regain the trust of the German public in their ability to govern is a challenge common to all mainstream parties.

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