苏丹：武装冲突扩大，和平前景堪忧

Abstract:On April 15，2023，clashes erupted in the capital Khartoum and other key towns and military locations between Sudan’s two most powerful forces，the Sudan Armed Forces（SAF）and the Rapid Support Forces（RSF），rapidly triggering the world’s worst humanitarian crisis in this huge and populous African country. After a year，the conflict in the Sudan has not only not ended through peace talks as expected or been continuing only in cities，but spread to rural and semi-urban areas in the western，southern and central regions，and has turned into a full-sale civil war with the participation of various armed forces. Due to the equal strength of the main conflicting parties and their unwillingness to reconcile，the stalled peace process，the fragmentation of domestic political forces，and the continued decline in international attention，the conflict in Sudan will continue or even protract. Nonetheless，inclusive negotiations remain the only way to resolve Sudan’s current crisis，and a return to the pre-October Coup power-sharing model is the most likely direction of Sudan’s political situation.

收起