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2023~2024年非洲政治与安全形势稳中有忧

作者:沈晓雷 出版日期:2024年08月 报告页数:18 页 报告大小: 报告字数:18859 字 所属丛书:非洲黄皮书 所属图书:非洲发展报告No.26(2023~2024) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2023年,非洲政治与安全形势在变乱交织中继续保持总体稳定,和平发展仍是主流。非洲多场选举平稳有序进行,选举结果基本为各方所认可,“逢选易乱”问题大幅缓解,但投票率相对较低问题值得关注。受外部大国竞争和内部治理危机的影响,非洲政治与安全形势动荡有所加剧。尼日尔、加蓬发生军事政变,布基纳法索、塞拉利昂和几内亚比绍发生未遂政变,新一轮“政变潮”继续在非洲蔓延。苏丹、埃塞俄比亚和刚果(金)内部冲突复杂难解,不仅严重破坏三国内部稳定,而且对地区局... 展开

文章摘要:2023年,非洲政治与安全形势在变乱交织中继续保持总体稳定,和平发展仍是主流。非洲多场选举平稳有序进行,选举结果基本为各方所认可,“逢选易乱”问题大幅缓解,但投票率相对较低问题值得关注。受外部大国竞争和内部治理危机的影响,非洲政治与安全形势动荡有所加剧。尼日尔、加蓬发生军事政变,布基纳法索、塞拉利昂和几内亚比绍发生未遂政变,新一轮“政变潮”继续在非洲蔓延。苏丹、埃塞俄比亚和刚果(金)内部冲突复杂难解,不仅严重破坏三国内部稳定,而且对地区局势产生重大冲击。非洲反恐形势仍然面临严峻挑战,尤其是萨赫勒地区恐怖主义形势持续恶化且不断外溢,布基纳法索已成为全球受恐怖主义影响最严重的国家。2024年,非洲政治与安全形势仍不容乐观,如欲走出军事政变、内部冲突和恐怖主义的阴霾,非洲国家还需付出更多的努力。

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Abstract:In 2023,the political and security situation in Africa was overall stable and peace and development remained the mainstream in a turmoil and change intertwined world. Several general elections in Africa were hold smoothly,the results were recognized by all parties and the problem of “election chaos” was infrequent,but the issue of relatively low voting rate deserve attention. However,due to the external competition among major p... 展开

Abstract:In 2023,the political and security situation in Africa was overall stable and peace and development remained the mainstream in a turmoil and change intertwined world. Several general elections in Africa were hold smoothly,the results were recognized by all parties and the problem of “election chaos” was infrequent,but the issue of relatively low voting rate deserve attention. However,due to the external competition among major powers and internal governance crisis,the political and security instability in African was intensified. The military coups in Niger and Gabon,and the attempted coups in Burkina Faso,Sirra Leone and Guinea-Bissau indicate that the new wave of coups is continuing to spread in Africa. The complicated internal conflicts in Sudan,Ethiopia and DRC have a serious adverse impact not only on their internal stability,but on the regional situations. The counter-terror situation in Africa still faces serious challenges,especially the terrorism situation in Sahel region continues to deteriorate and spillovers to neighbouring countries,and Burkina Faso has become the most impacted county by terrorism in the world. Looking ahead to 2024,the political and security situation in Africa is not optimistic,and African countries still need more efforts to get out of the haze of military coups,internal conflicts and terrorism.

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作者简介

沈晓雷:沈晓雷,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所(中国非洲研究院)副研究员,主要研究领域为非洲政治、民族及南部非洲地区。

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