通货膨胀治理与全球经济韧性

Abstract:In 2023，major developed economies continued to raise interest rates in response to inflation，which subsequently declined somewhat. Despite the continued nominal interest rate rises，the global economy continues to show strong resilience，with major international institutions revising upwards their earlier forecasts for world economic growth in 2023. However，this round of global economic recovery has not been a full-blown economic recovery，with growth showing resilience mainly from the services sector，with the economic cycles of the major economies clearly misaligned，and the volume of global trade not following the upturn. In developed economies，the labor market is strong，wage increases are still supporting inflation，“wages-inflation” is not spiraling up because of the central bank’s control of inflation expectations. At present，global economic growth is still facing many challenges，such as inflation，monetary tightening，geopolitical risks，as well as limited room for demand to rise in the United States and low domestic demand in China.

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