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2014~2015年全球政治与安全形势:分析与展望

作者:《全球政治与安全报告》课题组 出版日期:2015年12月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11352 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2016) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2014~2015年度,全球政治与安全形势延续了上一年的发展态势,虽然没有新的冲突热点出现,但原有的热点问题出现了或解决、或缓和、或僵持等不同的发展走向,从中折射出当前世界格局多元化和大国关系冲突与合作并存的两面性。中俄关系仍然处于历史上最好的时期;中美关系的冲突一面有所上升,但在习近平访美之后,被成功地导入了合作与对话的渠道;俄美关系中冲突的一面不变,但合作的因素在伊朗核问题之后有所提升。中国的周边安全形势依然复杂多变,中日关系因钓鱼岛问题... 展开

文章摘要:2014~2015年度,全球政治与安全形势延续了上一年的发展态势,虽然没有新的冲突热点出现,但原有的热点问题出现了或解决、或缓和、或僵持等不同的发展走向,从中折射出当前世界格局多元化和大国关系冲突与合作并存的两面性。中俄关系仍然处于历史上最好的时期;中美关系的冲突一面有所上升,但在习近平访美之后,被成功地导入了合作与对话的渠道;俄美关系中冲突的一面不变,但合作的因素在伊朗核问题之后有所提升。中国的周边安全形势依然复杂多变,中日关系因钓鱼岛问题陷入低谷,短期内很难改善,而南海问题虽然更加复杂,涉及国家众多,但基本处于可控的状态。中国外交主动塑造周边安全环境和参与国际事务的能力显著增强,“一带一路”战略得以顺利推进,周边外交、首脑外交和多边外交均取得了积极的效果,展现出中国新时期外交的大国面貌和卓越风范。

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Abstract:During the past year,the global political and security situations continued the development trends from the previous year. Although no new major conflicts emerged,there were some changes in the development of the various existing hot issues;they were either resolved,mitigated,or reached a stalemate. With respect to relations among the major countries,Sino-Russian relations are still the best in history;conflicts in Sino-US rela... 展开

Abstract:During the past year,the global political and security situations continued the development trends from the previous year. Although no new major conflicts emerged,there were some changes in the development of the various existing hot issues;they were either resolved,mitigated,or reached a stalemate. With respect to relations among the major countries,Sino-Russian relations are still the best in history;conflicts in Sino-US relations increased,but after Xi Jinping visited the United States,they were effectively channeled into cooperation and dialogue;although the conflicts between Russia and the United States have still not been resolved,cooperation seems to be on the horizon because of the Iranian nuclear issue. In China,the peripheral security situation is remains grim and complicated:it will be difficult to improve Sino-Japanese relations within the short term;however,the disputes over the South China Sea,though still intense and involving other countries,are basically under control. China’s diplomatic initiative to shape its peripheral security environment and its participation in international affairs were significantly enhanced. The “One Belt,One Road” initiative was successfully promoted and periphery diplomacy,summit diplomacy,and multilateral diplomacy achieved positive results,revealing a big-power outlook for China’s diplomacy during the new period.

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作者简介

《全球政治与安全报告》课题组:本文参考了本书相关分报告,执笔人郎平,并由李慎明、张宇燕修改定稿。郎平,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副研究员。