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“一带一路”背景下制度距离对我国向西亚北非出口贸易影响研究

作者:王晓宇 出版日期:2021年10月 报告页数:17 页 报告大小: 报告字数:16910 字 所属丛书:浙江智库 所属图书:阿拉伯经济研究(第1辑) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:西亚北非国家是我国“一带一路”建设的重要合作伙伴,该地区各国经济发展水平和制度环境迥异,且分别在经济制度和政治制度方面与我国存在较大差异。基于全球治理指数和经济自由度指数相关数据,本文分别计算出我国与西亚北非地区24国的政治制度距离和经济制度距离,并基于2007~2016年我国对该地区的出口贸易数据,借助引力模型实证分析双边制度距离对我国出口贸易的影响及我国的出口潜力情况。结果发现,我国与西亚北非国家的政治制度距离和经济制度距离均存在临界值;只... 展开

文章摘要:西亚北非国家是我国“一带一路”建设的重要合作伙伴,该地区各国经济发展水平和制度环境迥异,且分别在经济制度和政治制度方面与我国存在较大差异。基于全球治理指数和经济自由度指数相关数据,本文分别计算出我国与西亚北非地区24国的政治制度距离和经济制度距离,并基于2007~2016年我国对该地区的出口贸易数据,借助引力模型实证分析双边制度距离对我国出口贸易的影响及我国的出口潜力情况。结果发现,我国与西亚北非国家的政治制度距离和经济制度距离均存在临界值;只有当制度距离超过临界值时才会对我国的出口贸易产生负向影响。通过贸易潜力测算发现,我国对西亚北非部分国家出口贸易潜力巨大。最后,本文就如何缩减双边制度差异提出了相关建议。

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Abstract:TheWest Asia and North Africa(WANA)countries are important partners of China’s “the Belt and Road” initiative. The economic development level and institutional environment of the countries in the region are very different,and there are great differences in economic system and political system between WANA and China. This paper calculates the political institutional distance and economic institutional distance between China and t... 展开

Abstract:TheWest Asia and North Africa(WANA)countries are important partners of China’s “the Belt and Road” initiative. The economic development level and institutional environment of the countries in the region are very different,and there are great differences in economic system and political system between WANA and China. This paper calculates the political institutional distance and economic institutional distance between China and the WANA’s 24 countries based on the data related to the Global Governance Index and the Economic Freedom Index,and makes an empirical analysis of the impact of bilateral institutional distance on China’s export trade and its export trade potential to the region through Gravity Model by using the data of China’s export trade to the region from 2007 to 2016. The results find that there is a threshold to make the bilateral institutional distance have a negative effect on China’s export trade to the region. In addition,we know that China still has great potential for export trade to some countries in the region through the measurement of trade potential. More discusses and some suggestions on how to reduce bilateral institutional differences are put toward the end.

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作者简介

王晓宇:王晓宇,经济学博士,山东师范大学外国语学院讲师,研究方向为区域国别研究。