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新冠肺炎疫情下东京奥运会延期对日本经济的影响

作者:施锦芳 吴学艳 张家豪 出版日期:2021年08月 报告页数:18 页 报告大小: 报告字数:15830 字 所属丛书:日本经济蓝皮书 所属图书:日本经济与中日经贸关系研究报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:东京奥运会被赋予提振日本经济的重大使命,2020年东京奥运会延期于日本经济而言可谓“雪上加霜”。从短期来看,东京奥运会延期成为日本经济多重夹击下的致命一击,日本的GDP增长率进一步萎缩成为必然。于东京而言,短期影响利弊相依,既面临体育场馆及奥运村等商业利用延期的损失,成本大幅增加导致财政与金融风险上升,又伴随东京新形象树立的机遇。另外,企业等微观主体亦存在资金运营困难的状况。但整体而言,短期影响是有限且可弥补的,东京奥运会带来的剩余收益将在2... 展开

文章摘要:东京奥运会被赋予提振日本经济的重大使命,2020年东京奥运会延期于日本经济而言可谓“雪上加霜”。从短期来看,东京奥运会延期成为日本经济多重夹击下的致命一击,日本的GDP增长率进一步萎缩成为必然。于东京而言,短期影响利弊相依,既面临体育场馆及奥运村等商业利用延期的损失,成本大幅增加导致财政与金融风险上升,又伴随东京新形象树立的机遇。另外,企业等微观主体亦存在资金运营困难的状况。但整体而言,短期影响是有限且可弥补的,东京奥运会带来的剩余收益将在2021年刺激日本经济。于长期而言,若东京奥运会不能如期举办,日本将错失科技展现与文化输出的良机,旅游及体育等产业发展受创,但持续社会效应明显。目前,针对东京奥运会延期举办出现的问题还不能过早下定论,但东京奥运会延期后如期举行于日本利大于弊。由此,各方协作推动东京奥运会如期举办是关键,应简化形式,减少成本,降低风险,共迎奥运。

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Abstract:The 2020 Tokyo Olympics is given a major mission to boost Japan’s economic development,and its postponement can be described as “exacerbating the situation” for the Japanese economy. From a short-term perspective,the postponement of the Olympics has become a fatal blow to the Japanese economy under multiple attacks,and its GDP growth rate will shrink further. For Tokyo,the short-term impact is dependent on the pros and cons. It... 展开

Abstract:The 2020 Tokyo Olympics is given a major mission to boost Japan’s economic development,and its postponement can be described as “exacerbating the situation” for the Japanese economy. From a short-term perspective,the postponement of the Olympics has become a fatal blow to the Japanese economy under multiple attacks,and its GDP growth rate will shrink further. For Tokyo,the short-term impact is dependent on the pros and cons. It not only faces the loss of commercial use delays such as stadiums and the Olympic Village,and the substantial increase in costs leading to the rise of fiscal and financial risks,but also be accompanied with opportunities for the establishment of a new image of Tokyo. In addition,micro entities such as enterprises also have difficulties in capital operation. But overall,the short-term impact is limited and reparable,and the residual income from the Olympics will stimulate the Japanese economy in 2021. In the long run,if the Olympics cannot be held as scheduled,Japan will miss the opportunity to display science and technology and cultural output,and the development of tourism and sports industries will suffer,but the sustained social effects will be obvious. At present,the issue of whether or not the 2020 Tokyo Olympics will be held after the postponement cannot be prematurely determined. However,the advantages of holding the Tokyo Olympics as scheduled in Japan after the postponement outweigh the disadvantages. Therefore,it is the key for all parties to cooperate to promote the Olympic Games as scheduled,simplify the format,reduce costs,reduce risks,and welcome the Olympics together. At the same time,we must pay attention to the continued social effects of the Olympics,and strive to create a new Japan with the help of the Olympics.

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作者简介

施锦芳:施锦芳,经济学博士,东北财经大学东北亚经济研究院教授、博士生导师,主要研究领域:日本经济、国际经济合作。

吴学艳:吴学艳,东北财经大学国际经济贸易学院博士研究生,主要研究领域:世界经济。

张家豪:张家豪,东北财经大学国际经济贸易学院硕士研究生,主要研究领域:国际商务。