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2010~2019年“一带一路”共建国家投资的对华关系安全分析报告

作者:张耀军 张鹤曦 江训斌 出版日期:2021年07月 报告页数:32 页 报告大小: 报告字数:24453 字 所属丛书:“一带一路”投资安全蓝皮书 所属图书:中国“一带一路”投资安全研究报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:全球化进程下,发展国际经济合作和贸易关系成为必然趋势,国家间的关系也就必然会影响企业的生产与投资。尤其是在差异性较大的“一带一路”共建国家中,随着中国对外直接投资规模不断增大,东道国对华关系风险引发的负面影响需引起关注。本报告对“一带一路”背景下对外直接投资的对华关系安全进行了宏观研究,结合其时空变化情况分析了各个区域和具体国家的安全发展态势,并且给出了针对性建议。研究发现,近10年间各国对华关系投资安全平均指数出现小幅下降。东南亚、南亚区域内大部分国家对华关系安全指数处于较高水平。其中最主要的风险因素来自印度、孟加拉国、缅甸和柬埔寨。西亚北非地区的对华关系安全仍有大幅提升的空间。

Abstract:During the process of globalization,the development of international economic and trade cooperation has become an inevitable trend,the relationship between countries will inevitably affect the production and investment of enterprises,especially in the countries along the “Belt and Road” whose domestic environment are with great differences. With the continuous increase of China’s OFDI scale,the negative impact caused by the risk of the host country’s relationship with China is increasingly obvious. This report conducts a macro study on the security of OFDI relationship with China under the background of the “Belt and Road” cooperation,and analyzes the development of the situation of various regions and specific countries in combination with its spatio-temporal changes,and gives specific suggestions. The study found that the average safety index of investment in individual countries’ relations with China has declined slightly in the past ten years. The safety index of most countries’ relations with China in Southeast Asia and South Asia is at a relatively high level. The most important risk factors come from India,Bangladesh,Myanmar and Cambodia. There is still a large space for substantial improvement in the safety of relations with China in West Asia and North Africa.

作者简介

张耀军:张耀军,北京第二外国语学院中国“一带一路”战略研究院教授,主要研究方向为“一带一路”国际合作。

张鹤曦:张鹤曦,北京第二外国语学院中国“一带一路”战略研究院硕士研究生,主要研究方向为“一带一路”国际合作。

江训斌:江训斌(通讯作者),北京第二外国语学院中国“一带一路”战略研究院硕士研究生,主要研究方向为“一带一路”国际合作。