中东安全形势及展望

Abstract:The security situation in the Middle East remained grim and fragile in 2019，with regional conflicts on the rise. Three regional wars in Syria，Libya and Yemen are deadlocked. Terrorism has been severely weakened，but there is still the possibility of resurgence. The conflict between the United States and Iran continued to escalate and raised regional tensions. The security situation in the gulf is grave and the safety of navigation at sea is facing challenges. The conflict in the Eastern Mediterranean is heating up，and the game among regional countries is becoming increasingly heated. A new wave of protests broke out and triggered regime changes in some countries. Geopolitical competition among major powers in and outside the region is fierce，and changes in the regional pattern are accelerating，threatening the strategic stability of the Middle East. It is expected that in 2020，the Middle East security situation will remain unstable，and the possibility of a “black swan event”cannot be ruled out.

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