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2019~2020年中东地区政治安全形势评估

作者:张元 出版日期:2021年01月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13257 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2019年8月至2020年8月,中东地区热点问题较多。美国暗杀伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队高级将领,使得美伊之间的冲突骤然升级。叙利亚内战尚未结束,土耳其在叙土边境加大军事干预后,伊德利卜省成为各方关注的焦点。利比亚民族团结政府在土耳其的军事援助下反击国民军成功,利比亚战事再次进入僵持阶段。以色列组阁僵局被打破,两大政治竞争者暂时言和,以色列激进的外交政策使得巴以局势更加紧张。美国与阿富汗塔利班达成和平协议,但阿富汗政治和解进程仍然未见曙光。在中东地区,... 展开

文章摘要:2019年8月至2020年8月,中东地区热点问题较多。美国暗杀伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队高级将领,使得美伊之间的冲突骤然升级。叙利亚内战尚未结束,土耳其在叙土边境加大军事干预后,伊德利卜省成为各方关注的焦点。利比亚民族团结政府在土耳其的军事援助下反击国民军成功,利比亚战事再次进入僵持阶段。以色列组阁僵局被打破,两大政治竞争者暂时言和,以色列激进的外交政策使得巴以局势更加紧张。美国与阿富汗塔利班达成和平协议,但阿富汗政治和解进程仍然未见曙光。在中东地区,域外大国博弈与区域强国竞争相互叠加,各国内部的经济民生问题越发凸显。2020年新冠肺炎疫情的暴发,给地区安全带来了更大的不确定性,给各国内政治理带来了巨大挑战。

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Abstract:Hotspot issues occurred in the Middle East from August 2019 to August 2020. The assassination of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard general by the U.S. has escalated the conflict between the two countries. The Syrian province of Idlib has come under the spotlight after Turkey stepped up its military intervention on the Syrian-Turkish border. With direct military assistance from Turkey,the Libyan Government of National Accord successfully co... 展开

Abstract:Hotspot issues occurred in the Middle East from August 2019 to August 2020. The assassination of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard general by the U.S. has escalated the conflict between the two countries. The Syrian province of Idlib has come under the spotlight after Turkey stepped up its military intervention on the Syrian-Turkish border. With direct military assistance from Turkey,the Libyan Government of National Accord successfully countered the Libyan National Army. The deadlock over Israel’s cabinet has been broken,the two main political contenders have made peace for a while,and Israel’s aggressive foreign policy has increased tensions between the Palestinians and the Israelis. The United States has reached a peace deal with the Afghan Taliban,but the political reconciliation process in Afghanistan is still in the dark. In the Middle East,the game between big powers outside the region and the competition between regional powers overlap,and the economic and people’s livelihood issues within countries become more and more prominent. At the same time,the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020 has brought greater uncertainty to regional security and greater challenges to domestic governance.

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作者简介

张元:张元,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为国际冲突、族群冲突、南亚地区安全、中东地区安全。