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2020年全球气候治理形势和展望

作者:孙若水 高翔 出版日期:2020年11月 报告页数:23 页 报告大小: 报告字数:22419 字 所属丛书:气候变化绿皮书 所属图书:应对气候变化报告(2020) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2019年马德里气候大会未能达成预期,给全球气候治理进程带来了挑战。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,原定于2020年举行的《联合国气候变化框架公约》附属机构会议和格拉斯哥气候大会均被推迟到2021年,这进一步增添了不确定性。2020年全球气候治理的核心任务从完成《巴黎协定》实施细则谈判并推动各方落实在国际气候变化条约下的义务,转变为在全球应对新冠肺炎疫情和疫后经济复苏的背景下,保持对气候变化的重视度,并为2021年格拉斯哥大会取得成果造势。当前国际舆论存在重未来目标... 展开

文章摘要:2019年马德里气候大会未能达成预期,给全球气候治理进程带来了挑战。受新冠肺炎疫情影响,原定于2020年举行的《联合国气候变化框架公约》附属机构会议和格拉斯哥气候大会均被推迟到2021年,这进一步增添了不确定性。2020年全球气候治理的核心任务从完成《巴黎协定》实施细则谈判并推动各方落实在国际气候变化条约下的义务,转变为在全球应对新冠肺炎疫情和疫后经济复苏的背景下,保持对气候变化的重视度,并为2021年格拉斯哥大会取得成果造势。当前国际舆论存在重未来目标,轻既有承诺实施和确保行动得到资源保障的偏差,同时格拉斯哥气候大会还面临《巴黎协定》碳市场规则等议题艰难的谈判。英国作为主席国只有妥善处理谈判与实施、条约规则与行动倡议、未来目标与既有进展、行动与匹配的支持等诸多复杂问题,树立全面、正确的“力度观”,平衡照顾各方关切,发挥创造力和“2020年后”首次气候大会的影响力,才能使格拉斯哥大会取得成功。

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Abstract:The Madrid Climate Conference in 2019 failed to meet previous expectations,bringing forth challenges to the process of global climate governance. Affected by the outbreak of the COVID-19,the meetings of the subsidiary bodies of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Glasgow Climate Conference,which were scheduled to be held in 2020,were postponed to 2021,further increasing the uncertainty. In... 展开

Abstract:The Madrid Climate Conference in 2019 failed to meet previous expectations,bringing forth challenges to the process of global climate governance. Affected by the outbreak of the COVID-19,the meetings of the subsidiary bodies of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Glasgow Climate Conference,which were scheduled to be held in 2020,were postponed to 2021,further increasing the uncertainty. In 2020,the task at the center of global climate governance will change from completing the negotiation on the implementation rules of the Paris Agreement and promoting all parties to implement their obligations under the international climate change treaty,to maintaining the importance of climate change in the context of global response to COVID-19 and post-epidemic economic recovery,as well as putting a spin on Glasgow Conference in 2021. At present,the international public opinion emphasizes more on future goals rather than the gap between existing commitment implementation and resources required. Meanwhile,difficult negotiation issues such as the carbon market rules of the Paris Agreement are also faced by Glasgow Climate Conference. As the Presidency,the UK must properly deal with many complex issues,such as negotiation and implementation,treaty rules and action initiatives,future goals and existing progress,action and related support. Glasgow Conference will achieve success only if it is equipped with a comprehensive and correct “strength view”,a balance of concerns of all parties,and full demonstration of creativity and reputation as the first post-2020 climate conference.

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作者简介

孙若水:孙若水,清华大学环境学院在读硕士研究生,主要研究方向为全球气候治理。

高翔:高翔,博士,国家应对气候变化战略研究和国际合作中心研究员,主要研究方向为气候变化国际政策、全球气候治理。