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回归以来英国智库对香港问题的分析与解读

作者:庞琴 赵滢竹 出版日期:2020年06月 报告页数:30 页 报告大小: 报告字数:25823 字 所属丛书: 所属图书:当代港澳研究 (2019年第2辑)

文章摘要

  

英国智库对香港问题的分析具有较强的专业性,在国际上具有较强的话语权;与此同时,智库在英国对外决策体系中占据重要地位。当前我国面临严峻的外部战略威胁,香港的反对派势力正通过借助英美等外部力量实现自身的政治目的,香港问题的外部性矛盾正在上升。然而现有研究英国与香港关系的文献侧重于分析英国政府对香港政治事务的干涉行为及其影响,未能从政治、经济、社会等方面全面分析英国对香港问题的认知模式和特点,从而较难把握英国对于回归后香港问题的本质看法。因此,通过分析和把握英国智库对香港问题的立场与趋势,全面理解英国对香港问题的认知模式具有学术和现实意义。本研究通过引入传播学的框架理论和定量分析方法,梳理出主流英国智库目前对香港问题的关注焦点、分析思路、干涉立场与未来的趋势走向,并在文末提出了相应的建议。

Abstract

  

British think tanks have strong expertise in the Hong Kong issue analysis and a professional voice in the international community.At the same time,they play an important role in British foreign policy making.At present,China is facing serious external strategic threats.The opposition forces in Hong Kong are strengthening the use of external forces like Britain and the United States to achieve their own political purposes and the external influence on the Hong Kong issue are on the rise.While existing literature on the relationship between Britain and Hong Kong tend to focus on the British government's interference in Hong Kong's political affairs and its impact,it generally fails to generalize their cognitive approach to the Hong Kong issue,and thus is unable to grasp the essence of Britain's attitudes towards Hong Kong.To achieve a better understanding of this cognitive model,we analyze and grasp the policy positions and possible trend of British think tanks reports on Hong Kong.Specifically,we analyze their themed topics,attribution patterns and policy positions by adopting the framework theory and quantitative (statistical) analysis,and based on the finding,we put forward corresponding suggestions at the end.

作者简介

庞琴:庞琴,中山大学国际关系学院副教授,粤港澳研究院研究员,主要研究方向为香港政治、香港居民国家认同与中国的对外关系

赵滢竹:赵滢竹,中山大学国际关系学院2015级本科生。