中东局势与前景（2016～2017）
文章摘要：2017年是中东政治剧变之后的第七个年头。“伊斯兰国”丢城失地，奄奄一息。但从种种迹象上看，“伊斯兰国”的崩溃可能会成为新一轮动荡的开始，中东的地缘政治格局呈现前所未有的新特征。沙特阿拉伯、土耳其、伊朗三足鼎立，土耳其积极介入阿拉伯世界，伊朗强势崛起，沙特在与伊朗的较量中显得实力不济。叙利亚政府掌控了国内政治主动权，而伊拉克则不得不面对库尔德人公投引发的分裂危机。中东地区“碎片化”趋势已变得日益明显。域外大国博弈仍在紧张进行，此消彼长。美... 展开
Abstract:The year 2017 marked the seventh year since the “Arab Spring” political upheaval in the Middle East. The “Islamic State” has become a dying regime as it has continued to lose cities. But the demise of the “Islamic State” may be the beginning of a new round of turmoil，with the geopolitics of the Middle East presenting unprecedented features. Both the United States and Russia stepped up their scramble for control of the Middle Ea... 展开
京公网安备11010202008212号