2018年南高加索地区政局:回眸与前瞻
文章摘要:2018年是南高地区政局多变的一年,阿塞拜疆、亚美尼亚、格鲁吉亚三国先后举行总统选举,亚美尼亚政权发生非正常更迭,格鲁吉亚总理易人,三国政局呈现阿塞拜疆更加稳定、格鲁吉亚出现隐忧、亚美尼亚剧烈波动的多样化演变态势。南高地区政局波动异常有着深刻复杂的背景,与各国的宪政改革、民生状况和外部势力的介入密切相关,是内外多种因素综合作用的结果。未来南高地区政局有望维持基本稳定局面,但也面临不容忽视的隐忧和挑战。
Abstract:In 2018,the political situation in Southern Caucasus is changeful. Azerbaijan,Armenia,and Georgia all held their presidential elections. The Armenian regime was changed abnormally and the Prime Minister of Georgia was replaced. The political situation in three countries becomes diversified,among which Azerbaijan is relatively stable,Armenia is more chaotic and Georgia is deemed to have more potential security concerns. The politi... 展开