2017年国际军事安全形势分析

Abstract:In 2017，the international military situation is generally stable but important changes are brewing：The strategic competition between the world’s major powers shows a clear tendency to aggravate；geostrategic competition tends to intensify with the sustained wrestling between the United States and Russia in the Middle East and Eastern Europe. It remains unclear whether a certain new strategic balance can be reached in a short term，as the first “National Security Strategy Report” issued by the Trump administration clearly reflects a zero-sum mentality which adds greater uncertainties to the future international military situation. Major countries’ investment in military science and technology continues to rise so as to secure the chance of military development. Although the hotspot issues in East Asia，South Asia，the Middle East，and North Africa have not been out of control，the potential danger has a tendency to increase with the accumulation of local conflicts and greater uncertainties of future development. On the one hand，China’s regional influence has continued to increase，and gained greater geopolitical advantages. On the other hand，China’s relations with other countries have entered a period of in-depth interaction and adjustment，which require more efforts to hedge and escape the “Thucydides trap.” China is still faced with challenges and pressure from multiple directions. With the coexistence of opportunities and challenges，it remains an important strategic task for China in the long term to enhance overall strategic capabilities，effectively manage peripheral security，curb the expansion of crisis，and provide more public goods for regional security.

收起