巴西:经济稳步复苏,政经挑战仍存
文章摘要:自2016年8月31日特梅尔正式就任巴西总统以来,其执政之路并非一帆风顺。进入2017年,身陷腐败丑闻的特梅尔虽然惊险闯过“三关”指控,但是民意支持率也创下了新低。受到私人消费和出口的驱动,巴西经济连续三个季度出现环比增长,经济复苏已成定局,但是中期内仍然受财政压力和政治不确定性的制约。腐败案的持续发酵仍会不断引发政治危机,这也将延缓养老金制度改革的进程。虽然经济增长高于预期,但是连续两年经济衰退造成贫困和失业率反弹,这种状况较难在短期内改善。... 展开
Abstract:Since Michel Temer officially became the president of Brazil in 2016,his ruling journey hasn’t been smoothly as expected. In 2017,although Temer weathered corruption allegations,he hit another new low in polls. Driven by private consumption and exports,Brazil’s economy witnessed a stable recovery with three consecutive quarters of growth. But in the medium term,the economic growth has still been constrained by fiscal deficits a... 展开