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阿富汗局势对中亚地区安全的影响

作者:王世达 丁晓星 所属图书:中亚国家发展报告(2018) 图书作者:孙力 肖斌 中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所 出版时间:2018年03月 所属丛书:
报告字数:13242字 报告页数:13页

文章摘要:2017年,尽管特朗普政府出台了对阿富汗新战略,阿富汗形势仍没有根本性好转,和平进程止步不前,阿政府与塔利班依旧激烈缠斗。同时,“伊斯兰国”(IS)在中东溃败后,阿富汗或将成为其未来渗透的重点。2017年,中亚地区安全形势平稳,但各国均高度关注阿富汗局势对中亚地区产生的影响,尤其是IS在阿富汗的渗透给中亚地区所带来的威胁。目前,各方对IS在阿富汗渗透活动的评估不一,但总体看,阿富汗北部地区的形势不断恶化,对中亚构成威胁。中亚各国采取各种措施应对,加... 展开

文章摘要:2017年,尽管特朗普政府出台了对阿富汗新战略,阿富汗形势仍没有根本性好转,和平进程止步不前,阿政府与塔利班依旧激烈缠斗。同时,“伊斯兰国”(IS)在中东溃败后,阿富汗或将成为其未来渗透的重点。2017年,中亚地区安全形势平稳,但各国均高度关注阿富汗局势对中亚地区产生的影响,尤其是IS在阿富汗的渗透给中亚地区所带来的威胁。目前,各方对IS在阿富汗渗透活动的评估不一,但总体看,阿富汗北部地区的形势不断恶化,对中亚构成威胁。中亚各国采取各种措施应对,加大对恐怖极端势力的打击力度,同时积极寻求外部援助。美国在阿富汗十多年的反恐表明,武力解决不了阿富汗问题,中亚各国明显加强了与阿富汗的政治互动与经济合作,希望通过帮助阿富汗经济重建,来推动解决阿富汗问题。

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Abstract:In 2017,even though the Trump administration has introduced a new strategy for Afghanistan,the situation in Afghanistan has not fundamentally improved.The peace process has gone no further,and there is still an intense struggle between the Afghan government and the Taliban.Meanwhile,Afghanistan may become the focus of the future infiltration of IS after its defeat in the Middle East.In 2017,the security situation in Central Asia ... 展开

Abstract:In 2017,even though the Trump administration has introduced a new strategy for Afghanistan,the situation in Afghanistan has not fundamentally improved.The peace process has gone no further,and there is still an intense struggle between the Afghan government and the Taliban.Meanwhile,Afghanistan may become the focus of the future infiltration of IS after its defeat in the Middle East.In 2017,the security situation in Central Asia is stable.However,all countries are highly concerned about the impact of the situation in Afghanistan on Central Asia,especially about the threat that derived from the IS's infiltration in Afghanistan.At present,the parties have different opinions on the IS's infiltration activities in Afghanistan,nevertheless,on all accounts,the deteriorating situation in the northern region of Afghanistan has posed a threat to Central Asia.Faced with this situation,Central Asian countries have adopted various measures and have stepped up the crackdown on terrorist extremists while actively seeking external assistance.Ten years of anti-terrorism campaign of U.S.in Afghanistan shows that the Afghanistan problem cannot be resolved by force.Hence Central Asian countries have strengthened political interaction and economic cooperation with Afghanistan and they hope to solve the Afghan problem by helping Afghanistan's economic reconstruction.

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作者简介

王世达:王世达,中国现代国际关系研究院南亚与东南亚及大洋洲研究所南亚研究室主任,副研究员,研究方向为南亚问题

丁晓星:丁晓星,中国现代国际关系研究院欧亚所代理所长,研究员,研究方向为中亚地区问题、大国与中亚国家关系、上海合作组织。

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