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TPP背景下的韩国FTA战略走向

作者:贺平 张弛 出版日期:2016年07月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:15561 字 所属丛书:复旦大学韩国研究丛书 所属图书:韩国研究论丛 总第三十一辑(2016年第一辑) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2015年10月《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPP)谈判各方达成初步协议,韩国国内关于加入TPP的政策论争进一步升温。“不加入的损失大于加入的收益”已成为韩国国内基本共识,但在加入的进度和方式上,仍有“尽快加入”和“稳步加入”两种观点之争。随着近乎与所有主要贸易伙伴建立FTA,韩国的贸易战略面临新的、更高层次的挑战。加入TPP将有助于加速完成韩国的FTA战略布局,对其成为地区一体化的基轴和“全球通商国”的战略目标意义重大,但鉴于选举周期、产业冲击、规制改革... 展开

文章摘要:2015年10月《跨太平洋伙伴关系协定》(TPP)谈判各方达成初步协议,韩国国内关于加入TPP的政策论争进一步升温。“不加入的损失大于加入的收益”已成为韩国国内基本共识,但在加入的进度和方式上,仍有“尽快加入”和“稳步加入”两种观点之争。随着近乎与所有主要贸易伙伴建立FTA,韩国的贸易战略面临新的、更高层次的挑战。加入TPP将有助于加速完成韩国的FTA战略布局,对其成为地区一体化的基轴和“全球通商国”的战略目标意义重大,但鉴于选举周期、产业冲击、规制改革、谈判准备等因素,谨慎行事仍是韩国政府的基本选择。

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Abstract:In October 2015,the negotiating parties of the Trans-Pacific Partnership(TPP)reached a preliminary agreement,which added fuel to the heated debate on the accession to TPP in Korea. The recognition that “the loss of non-accession is bigger than the benefit of accession” has become a basic domestic consensus in Korea,however there are still two camps,namely “early accession” vs. “prudent accession”,in terms of the pace and ... 展开

Abstract:In October 2015,the negotiating parties of the Trans-Pacific Partnership(TPP)reached a preliminary agreement,which added fuel to the heated debate on the accession to TPP in Korea. The recognition that “the loss of non-accession is bigger than the benefit of accession” has become a basic domestic consensus in Korea,however there are still two camps,namely “early accession” vs. “prudent accession”,in terms of the pace and pattern of the accession. After establishing FTAs with nearly all the major trading partners,Korea is now facing a new and higher level of challenge in its trade strategy. Joining the TPP will certainly help to accelerate the completion of Korea’s FTA strategy,and therefore is significant to its strategic aim of being a linchpin in the regional integration and a “global trading state”. But due to the election cycle,the industry impact,the regulatory reform,the preparation for negotiations and other factors,Seoul will probably still pursue a option of caution and prudence.

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作者简介

贺平:贺平,复旦大学国际问题研究院日本研究中心副教授、两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心成员,国际政治学博士。

张弛:张弛,复旦大学国际关系与公共事务学院博士研究生。