您好,欢迎来到一带一路数据库!

全库
全文
  • 全文
  • 标题
  • 所属丛书
  • 作者/机构
  • 关键词
  • 主题词
  • 摘要
高级检索

您好,欢迎来到一带一路数据库!

日本“安全蜕变”与中日战略博弈——2015~2016年日本形势回顾与展望

作者:杨伯江 出版日期:2016年05月 报告页数:21 页 报告大小: 报告字数:19863 字 所属丛书:日本蓝皮书 所属图书:日本研究报告(2016) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2015年安倍内阁强推新安保法,日本安全政策突破宪法限制、实现了二战后最大的一次蜕变,自卫队出兵海外的门槛降低,海外动武的危险上升。2015年是日本战败投降70周年,历史观广受质疑的安倍内阁为化解国际压力,通过对外主动出击,谋求平稳过关。中日关系延续转圜势头,高层保持对话,各界交流恢复,但改善关系的基础仍不稳固,障碍依然存在,两国在地区、多边领域的竞争与对立增加。日本高调介入南海、加强西南防卫,中日在多边及第三方多个领域博弈加剧。展望2016年,日... 展开

文章摘要:2015年安倍内阁强推新安保法,日本安全政策突破宪法限制、实现了二战后最大的一次蜕变,自卫队出兵海外的门槛降低,海外动武的危险上升。2015年是日本战败投降70周年,历史观广受质疑的安倍内阁为化解国际压力,通过对外主动出击,谋求平稳过关。中日关系延续转圜势头,高层保持对话,各界交流恢复,但改善关系的基础仍不稳固,障碍依然存在,两国在地区、多边领域的竞争与对立增加。日本高调介入南海、加强西南防卫,中日在多边及第三方多个领域博弈加剧。展望2016年,日本内政外交将受到参议院选举因素的直接驱动。安倍在东海、南海问题上将保持对华强硬姿态,同时所面临的恢复加强对华经济合作的压力也进一步上升。中日务实合作空间广阔,而能否顺利开展合作,取决于两国关系整体环境。两国能否有效管控分歧,避开“雷区”、减少震荡、推动企稳进而深化务实合作,对于中日关系后续长期发展至关重要。

收起

Abstract:Having the Abe administration forced the new security bill through in 2015,Japan’ security policy breaks the constitutional restriction and is undergoing an unprecedented transformation since the end of WWII. Japan’s new security legislation has removed the barrier for Japan in taking an active role in war and overseas military actions. In the context of the year 2015 marking the 70th anniversary of the end of WWII,the Abe adminis... 展开

Abstract:Having the Abe administration forced the new security bill through in 2015,Japan’ security policy breaks the constitutional restriction and is undergoing an unprecedented transformation since the end of WWII. Japan’s new security legislation has removed the barrier for Japan in taking an active role in war and overseas military actions. In the context of the year 2015 marking the 70th anniversary of the end of WWII,the Abe administration,whose historical view has been widely criticized,works actively in order to offset the pressure from the international community. There has been some recovery in Sino-Japanese relations,with high-level dialogues and exchanges of all walks being gradually restored. However,obstacles still exist between China and Japan and the foundation for improving bilateral relations remains quite unstable. Competition and strategic gaming between China and Japan are intensifying on the regional and multi-lateral levels,with Japan having intervened in the disputes over South China Sea in a high profile and enhanced its “southwestern defense line”. Looking into the year 2016,Japan’s domestic and foreign affairs are directly driven by the election of the Senate,or the simultaneous election of the Senate and the House of Representatives. While faced with the rising pressure of restoring and developing economic ties with China,the Abe administration will keep a hard-line posture towards China over the issues concerning the East China Sea and the South China Sea. There are still broader prospects for Sino-Japanese cooperation,and its progress depends on the overall trend and circumstance of Sino-Japanese relations. Whether both sides can work together to manage and control disputes and promote pragmatic cooperation based on the stable bilateral exchanges will be vital for the long-term development of Sino-Japanese relations.

收起

作者简介

杨伯江:杨伯江,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所副所长、研究员,研究方向为日本问题、东北亚地区安全。

楊伯江:暂无简介