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日本军事崛起新动向及前景分析

作者:吴怀中 出版日期:2014年03月 报告页数:18 页 报告大小: 报告字数:17779 字 所属丛书:日本蓝皮书 所属图书:日本研究报告(2014) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:安倍上台后,日本的“军事崛起”呈现正面突破、全面推进的特点。这一工程既是安倍国家战略路线的有机一环,也有其独自的逻辑和内驱力。安倍“强军工程”——谋求国防“正常化”和军事大国化的路径:第一是加快自主国防能力建设,第二是借助日美同盟“出海”,第三是积极参与地区与国际安全事务。三者的目标集成是增强能力、保障安全、提升地位、扩大影响力。此次安倍“强军梦”的特点是全面、深入、持续、目标明确、意识自主,既有顶层设计,也有实施运筹。总体而言,在规... 展开

文章摘要:安倍上台后,日本的“军事崛起”呈现正面突破、全面推进的特点。这一工程既是安倍国家战略路线的有机一环,也有其独自的逻辑和内驱力。安倍“强军工程”——谋求国防“正常化”和军事大国化的路径:第一是加快自主国防能力建设,第二是借助日美同盟“出海”,第三是积极参与地区与国际安全事务。三者的目标集成是增强能力、保障安全、提升地位、扩大影响力。此次安倍“强军梦”的特点是全面、深入、持续、目标明确、意识自主,既有顶层设计,也有实施运筹。总体而言,在规模、速度和效应上要远超之前历届内阁的作为和业绩,代表了战后日本具有“里程碑”意义的一种转变。当然,由于国内条件和国际环境的制约,“安倍梦”的实施并不能全线飘红、一步到位,政策范围内的突破虽然斩获甚多,但在修宪等原则问题上要想取得决定性进展,则仍需一定时日。安倍政権誕生以来、日本の軍事的台頭は正面突破、全面推進の特徴を帯びてきた。この台頭は安倍流国家大戦略の一環であり、また「先軍路線」の独自的論理によるものでもある。国防正常化や軍事大国化を図る安倍路線のルートと中味は自主防衛能力構築、日米同盟の利用を通じての役割拡大、地域及び国際安全保障への参入による影響力

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Abstract:Under the Abe administration in 2013,Japan’s “military rise” features dramatic breakthrough and comprehensive enhancement. The project of “building a strong army”,which Abe ardently pushed for to seek Japan’s normalization of defense policy and rise as a military power,is an integral part of Japan’s national strategy. It generally consists in the following three aspects:firstly,to accelerate the build-up of defense capabil... 展开

Abstract:Under the Abe administration in 2013,Japan’s “military rise” features dramatic breakthrough and comprehensive enhancement. The project of “building a strong army”,which Abe ardently pushed for to seek Japan’s normalization of defense policy and rise as a military power,is an integral part of Japan’s national strategy. It generally consists in the following three aspects:firstly,to accelerate the build-up of defense capability;secondly,to strengthen the Japan-U.S. security arrangements;and thirdly,to actively participate in regional and international security cooperation. Abe’s “dream of building a strong army”,including top-level design as well as specific measures,is being put into practice in a comprehensive,in-depth way with active consciousness. It marks a crucial turning point of Japan’s national strategy,with the amount of measures and their strength unprecedented. Due to the constraints relating to domestic and international environment,it is difficult for the above project to be thoroughly implemented at one go. Although Abe administration has gained some breakthrough in pursuing its goal,it takes more time and patience to make progress in sensitive and vital issues such as constitutional amendment.

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作者简介

吴怀中:吴怀中,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所副研究员、政治研究室主任,研究方向为日本对外战略、中日关系、日本安全防卫政策。

呉懐中:暂无简介