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安倍内阁加速日本“全面正常化”——日本形势回顾与展望(2013~2014)

作者:杨伯江 李薇 所属图书:日本研究报告(2014) 图书作者:杨伯江 李薇 林昶 出版时间:2014年03月 所属丛书:
报告字数:17056字 报告页数:16页 浏览人数: 下载次数:

文章摘要:2013年是日本谋求全面战略突破、不惜代价倾力实现“大国梦”的一年。在安倍内阁的强力推动下,日本“正常国家化”驶入快车道。安倍版“大国梦”的设计与展开具有鲜明特点,以右倾化为价值理念基础,以“战略性外交”拓展国际空间,以“积极和平主义”引领安全蜕变。以“安保三支箭”及为之提供制度、法律保障的“日本版”国家安全委员会(NSC)和《特定秘密保护法》的出台为标志,战后日本安全战略和防卫政策完成了一次重大蜕变。在战败68年之后,日本重新成为“能进行战... 展开

文章摘要:2013年是日本谋求全面战略突破、不惜代价倾力实现“大国梦”的一年。在安倍内阁的强力推动下,日本“正常国家化”驶入快车道。安倍版“大国梦”的设计与展开具有鲜明特点,以右倾化为价值理念基础,以“战略性外交”拓展国际空间,以“积极和平主义”引领安全蜕变。以“安保三支箭”及为之提供制度、法律保障的“日本版”国家安全委员会(NSC)和《特定秘密保护法》的出台为标志,战后日本安全战略和防卫政策完成了一次重大蜕变。在战败68年之后,日本重新成为“能进行战争的国家”。2014年,安倍内阁将继续沿右倾化道路、朝“正常国家化”目标迈进,在以否认和美化侵略历史挑衅国际社会、加紧落实新安全战略与防卫政策、对华强硬对抗等方面,基本政策不会改变。但是,安倍执政环境将更为严峻,“全面正常化”面临阻力。日本经济形势不容乐观,安倍版“大国梦”存在内生性矛盾,其国家主义、集权主义倾向及施政缺陷所引发的国内反弹将持续发酵,最终甚或导致政权危机。2013年は、日本にとって全面的に戦略突破を図り、いかなる代価を払っても「大国の夢」を実現させようとする一年であった。安倍内閣による強力推進のもと、日本の「普通国家化」が追い越し車

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Abstract:The year 2013 marks Japan’s ambitious,full-fledging attempt for strategic breakthrough and the “dream of great power”. Because of the forceful push of the Abe administration,Japan’s endeavor of “becoming a normal country” has been driven into the fast track. The design and implementation of Abe’s “dream of great power” have distinctive characteristics. It is based on the right-deviated political philosophy,aiming to expand... 展开

Abstract:The year 2013 marks Japan’s ambitious,full-fledging attempt for strategic breakthrough and the “dream of great power”. Because of the forceful push of the Abe administration,Japan’s endeavor of “becoming a normal country” has been driven into the fast track. The design and implementation of Abe’s “dream of great power” have distinctive characteristics. It is based on the right-deviated political philosophy,aiming to expand Japan’s international horizon through the “strategic diplomacy” and trigger dramatic change of Japan’s security policy through the “positive pacifism”. Japan’s security strategy and defense policy in post-war era have undergone major transformation,marked by the introduction of Abe’s “three arrows of security”,as well as the establishment of Japan’s “National Security Counsel”(NSC) and the passing of specific secret protection law which provide institutional and legislative guarantee for Abe’s “three arrows of security”. Japan has become again “a country that can declare war” sixty-eight years after the defeat in the Second World War. In the year 2014,the Abe administration will continue to move towards the objective of Japan’s “normalization” following the right-deviated political way. It is unlikely for Japan to change the ongoing fundamental policy in terms of defying the international community in the historical issue,intensifying effort to implement new security strategy and defense policy and keeping hardline policy towards China. However,it can be foreseen that the ruling environment for the Abe administration will become worse and its “overall normalization” will be faced with more resistance. The prospect of Japan’s economy will be not optimistic. There are contradictions within Abe’s “dream of great power”,and the domestic political backlash caused by its tendency of nationalism,authoritarianism and defecting policy decisions will keep simmering and probably result in the political crisis for the Abe administration.

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作者简介

李薇:暂无简介

杨伯江:杨伯江,法学博士,中国社会科学院日本研究所副所长、研究员,研究方向为日本问题、东北亚地区安全。

楊伯江:暂无简介

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