安倍经济学“第一支箭”:进程、效果及课题
文章摘要:安倍经济学“第一支箭”出台后,从日本银行的政策路径看,长期利率保持极低水平,市场及经济主体的预期开始转变,但金融机构资产配置再平衡效应并未实现。在日本经济长期结构性难题和制度性约束下,仅依靠宽松的货币政策恐无法解决长期通货紧缩的难题。在货币政策执行过程中,主要面临日元贬值对物价的负面作用、央行大量增持国债或导致财政赤字货币化风险、物价上升与工资水平降低、宽松政策退出风险等课题。为抵消消费税增税后的经济下滑风险,2014年日本银行或将进一步... 展开
Abstract:After the first arrow of Abenomics was approved,judging from the policy path of Japanese bank,long-term interest rates remain extremely low levels,economic agents’ expectation becomes changing,but the asset rebalance effect has not been realized. Japanese economy has long-term structural problem and institutional restriction,so deflation can not be solved only depending on easing monetary policy. Monetary policy is facing some i... 展开