叙利亚政治危机的现状及前景

Abstract:The reason for the political crisis in Syria has mainly come from two aspects.On one hand,"Arab revolution"has had a severe impact on Syria.On the other hand,there exists a series of domestic conflicts in this country.The Syria government had been able to control the crisis in the early stage.However,the situation has rapidly deteriorated since the West has caught the opportunity to interfere in Syria after the fall of the Gaddafi regime.The Arab League has also deeply involved in Syria affairs.It has ever undertook the responsibility to solve this crisis,yet failed.The political opposition in Syria has announced that they will not conform to Annan's Peace Plan after the Houla massacre.Mood,head of UN Supervision Mission in Syria has announced the supervision activities in Syria will be suspended,and Annan's Peace Plan has come to the end.Namely,it has also failed for the UN to solve the crisis in Syria.In the short term,the political opposition in Syria will not pose a deadly threat against the Bashar regime without the help of external forces.However,Bashar regime will be likely to collapse if external forces decide to intervene in Syria affairs.In other words,the prospect of political crisis in Syria,to larger extent,will depend on whether the foreign forces will intervene or not.

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