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中亚国家“基本稳定”的政治格局缘何得以继续保持

作者:包毅 出版日期:2014年09月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:14487 字 所属丛书:中亚黄皮书 所属图书:中亚国家发展报告(2014) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:中亚各国政治格局总体趋稳的主要原因在于各国总统均对政权拥有较为牢固的掌控力。即便是改行议会制的吉尔吉斯斯坦,总统阿坦巴耶夫对政局仍然具有一定的控制力和决策权。但面临“老人政治”危机和新一轮政权更替期的到来,中亚国家对总统制进行一定的制度微调和政治改革的可能性尚存。吉尔吉斯斯坦的议会制将成为中亚国家政治发展道路上的前车之鉴或是模板。

Abstract:The Primary reason of why Central Asian countries able to maintain overall stability in their political structure lies in the fact that the presidents of all five countries held relatively tight control of political power. Even in Kyrkyzstan,which changed to parliamentarian system,President Atambaev held control of the political situation and power of policy making. However,faced with crisis related to the “aging leader politics”... 展开

Abstract:The Primary reason of why Central Asian countries able to maintain overall stability in their political structure lies in the fact that the presidents of all five countries held relatively tight control of political power. Even in Kyrkyzstan,which changed to parliamentarian system,President Atambaev held control of the political situation and power of policy making. However,faced with crisis related to the “aging leader politics” and a new round of power transition,Central Asian countries under presidential system are still facing the option of minor systemic adjustments and political reforms. The parliamentarian system of Kyrkyzstan will be a modal or provide lessons for Central Asian countries to push forward their political development.

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作者简介

包毅:包毅,法学博士,中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副研究员。