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国际贸易形势回顾与展望

作者:倪月菊 出版日期:2008年12月 报告页数:11 页 报告大小: 报告字数:9416 字 所属丛书:世界经济黄皮书 所属图书:2009年世界经济形势分析与预测 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:由于发达国家和地区需求下降,2007年世界经济和国际贸易的增长幅度明显放缓。2007年国际贸易的实际增长率为5.5%,大大低于上年8.5%的增速。近期美国次贷危机不断扩大并蔓延,给2008年和2009年的国际贸易增加了很多不确定因素。预计2008年的国际贸易实际增长率在4.5%左右,2009年的增速将进一步下降。

Abstract:The global economy and world trade started to slow down in 2007 due to the deceleration of demand in the developed regions. North America showed the weakest growth in output,measured as gross domestic product(GDP).World trade growth slid to 5.5% last year from 8.5% in 2006 and may grow even more slowly in 2008-at about 4.5%-as sharp economic deceleration in key developed countries is only partly offset by continuing strong growth i... 展开

Abstract:The global economy and world trade started to slow down in 2007 due to the deceleration of demand in the developed regions. North America showed the weakest growth in output,measured as gross domestic product(GDP).World trade growth slid to 5.5% last year from 8.5% in 2006 and may grow even more slowly in 2008-at about 4.5%-as sharp economic deceleration in key developed countries is only partly offset by continuing strong growth in emerging economies. Recent developments cloud the near-term prospects for the world economy. The world trade would grow more slowly In 2009.

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作者简介

倪月菊:经济学博士,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,全国日本经济学会理事,主要研究领域:国际贸易、中日经贸关系等。