2008~2009年世界经济形势分析与展望
文章摘要:国际金融危机开始从金融领域蔓延到实体经济,2008年发达国家经济已经陷入衰退,全球经济增长率大幅放慢。鉴于主要发达国家房地产市场尚在调整之中,国际金融危机向发展中国家蔓延,2009年全球经济增长率会进一步降低。但伴随房地产市场走稳,油价下跌,通货膨胀压力减轻,主要大国采取政府干预措施以及经济政策的国际协调,全球经济发生大萧条的可能性不大。
Abstract:As the international financial crisis has begun to spread from financial markets to real economy,advanced economies are entering a major downturn,global economy is projected to slow substantially in 2008. Because the financial crisis continues to broaden and intensify,global economic growth is expected to deteriorate and fall into a recession in 2009. However,as housing prices tend to stabilize,oil prices decline,inflation press... 展开