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2010年下半年国际大宗商品价格走势分析

作者:刘向东 出版日期:2010年08月 报告页数:17 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13027 字 所属丛书:CCIEE智库报告 所属图书:中国与世界年中经济分析与展望(2010) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2010年上半年国际大宗商品价格总体呈现分化震荡的特征。其中,主要工业品震荡中有升,农产品保持相对稳定。综合考虑世界经济形势并不明朗、美元流动性增强和人民币加快升值、投机资本回流以及自然气候等多方面因素,下半年商品价格总体呈现弱势走高、波动加剧、品种分化的特征。这不仅会加大我国输入型通胀压力和经济运行波动风险,同时还将促进我国加快产业结构转型升级和提高商品金融化市场程度。

Abstract:>In the first half of 2010,international commodity prices frequently went up and down at a higher point and show the characteristics of differentiation.Among them,the price index of industrial goods rose with a wide fluctuating,and the price index of agricultural goods remained relatively steady.Due to the uncertainty of global economy recovery,the increasing U.S.dollar liquidity,the strengthened appreciation expectation of the R... 展开

Abstract:>In the first half of 2010,international commodity prices frequently went up and down at a higher point and show the characteristics of differentiation.Among them,the price index of industrial goods rose with a wide fluctuating,and the price index of agricultural goods remained relatively steady.Due to the uncertainty of global economy recovery,the increasing U.S.dollar liquidity,the strengthened appreciation expectation of the Renminbi,and the return of speculative capital,as well as other unpredictable natural disasters,the commodity prices will still have a weakened rise,more frequently fluctuate,and differentiate in the varieties.The trend of international commodity prices will not only increase the pressure on the imported inflation and the operation risk of China’s economic,but also force Chinese government to speed up the transformation of the mode of economic development and further improve the financial derivatives market.

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作者简介

刘向东:刘向东,中国国际经济交流中心研究部。