中国经济运行分析与展望
文章摘要:上半年经济高速增长、物价温和上涨,表明前期国家宏观调控目的基本达到。展望下半年,经济增速将继续维持下行态势;物价上涨高峰可能在7月前后出现,随后通胀压力可能明显减轻;消费有望稳中略升;投资增速继续逐步回落;出口增速可能大幅降低,进口增幅可能持续缩小,贸易顺差规模有加大趋势;信贷增速将继续回落。建议下半年宏观调控总基调为:取向不变,动态优化,审慎调节,防止叠加。为此,应继续实施积极的财政政策,为应对经济出现超预期下行预留必要的支出空间;... 展开
Abstract:>First half of 2010,economy grew rapidly,CPI increased moderately,indicating that the basic purpose of macro-control to achieve.Looking in the second half,economic growth will continue to maintain the downward trend;price peak may occur in July,followed by inflationary pressures may be significantly reduced;consumption is expected slight increase;investment growth continues to come down gradually;export growth may be greatly ... 展开