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俄罗斯与上海合作组织

作者:庞大鹏 出版日期:2013年09月 报告页数:13 页 报告大小: 报告字数:11552 字 所属丛书:上海合作组织黄皮书 所属图书:上海合作组织发展报告(2013) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2012年俄罗斯形势总体保持稳定。第六届国家杜马和总统大选结束后,普京为了应对俄罗斯政治生态出现的新变化,采取了一系列政治体制改革措施,但是这些措施并没有真正增强政治竞争性,国家权力结构也没有出现实质性变化,政局保持稳定。从经济形势看,在油价保持高位的情况下,2012年俄罗斯经济保持了增长,宏观经济情况好于预期。在国际关系层面,俄罗斯2012年重返亚太的态势明显。从俄美关系上看,双方既非盟友也非敌人的特征长期存在。俄美关系是一个霸权守成国与新兴崛... 展开

文章摘要:2012年俄罗斯形势总体保持稳定。第六届国家杜马和总统大选结束后,普京为了应对俄罗斯政治生态出现的新变化,采取了一系列政治体制改革措施,但是这些措施并没有真正增强政治竞争性,国家权力结构也没有出现实质性变化,政局保持稳定。从经济形势看,在油价保持高位的情况下,2012年俄罗斯经济保持了增长,宏观经济情况好于预期。在国际关系层面,俄罗斯2012年重返亚太的态势明显。从俄美关系上看,双方既非盟友也非敌人的特征长期存在。俄美关系是一个霸权守成国与新兴崛起国之间如何相处的问题。双方的结构性矛盾与全球化时代相互依赖的现实互为影响因素,造成了俄美之间既合作又斗争的关系。俄罗斯认为上合组织作为确保地区安全与稳定关键因素的地位已经确立,认为上合组织拥有良好而远大的前景。

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Abstract:The situation of Russia has maintained a general stability in 2012. In the wake of the 6th Duma Election and the Presidential Election, Putin adopted a series of political reforms in order to handle new changes taking place in the political ecology of Russia. But those reform measures did not actually increase the political competitions in Russia, neither did any substantial change occur in the state power structure, and the political... 展开

Abstract:The situation of Russia has maintained a general stability in 2012. In the wake of the 6th Duma Election and the Presidential Election, Putin adopted a series of political reforms in order to handle new changes taking place in the political ecology of Russia. But those reform measures did not actually increase the political competitions in Russia, neither did any substantial change occur in the state power structure, and the political situation has remained stable. From the perspective of economic situation, due to high oil prices, the Russian economy has continued its growth in 2012, the situation of macro-economy turned out better than expected. In terms of international relations, Russian in 2012 showed a clear posture of returning to Asia-Pacific. As to Russian-US relationship, it is well characterized as one of an enduring state of both non-ally and non-adversary. The Russian-US relation is about how a mature hegemonic power and a newly rising power deal with each other. The structural conflicts between the two powers and the mutually depending reality in the era of globalization are both influencing factors, and created this both confronting and cooperating relationship between Russia and US. Russia believes that SCO's position as the key guarantor of regional security and stability has been firmly established, and SCO has a broad and bright future.

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Keywords:

RussiaPutinSCO

作者简介

庞大鹏:中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所副所长,研究员,博士生导师。中国社会科学院俄罗斯研究中心主任。毕业于中国社会科学院研究生院,获法学(国际政治专业)博士学位。主要从事俄罗斯及欧亚问题研究,研究方向为俄罗斯政治。出版个人专著:《从叶利钦到普京:俄罗斯宪政之路》(2005年)、《观念与制度:苏联解体后的俄罗斯国家治理(1991~2010)》(2010年,获中国社会科学院优秀科研成果三等奖)、《俄罗斯的发展道路:国内政治与国际社会》(2020年)。主编专著:《普京八年:俄罗斯复兴之路(2000~2008)政治卷》(2008年,获中国社会科学院优秀科研成果二等奖)、《普京新时期的俄罗斯:政治稳定与国家治理(2011~2015)》(2017年);《俄罗斯的发展道路:国内政治与国际社会》(独著,2020年)等。在国内外各类学术期刊上发表学术论文百余篇。