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2023~2024年中东政治形势及展望

作者:朱泉钢 所属图书:中东发展报告No.26(2023~2024) 图书作者:王林聪 王金岩 出版时间:2024年10月 所属丛书:
报告字数:13783字 报告页数:14页

文章摘要:2023年以来,中东国家政治形势整体稳定。土耳其、伊拉克、埃及、伊朗、科威特、阿联酋、阿曼等国举行大选,但这些国家权力结构变化不大。利比亚、叙利亚和也门三个战乱国家局势更加复杂,全面和平进程仍然步履维艰。伊朗、以色列、阿联酋出现较大规模的抗议活动,三国爆发社会抗议的主要原因分别是经济危机、巴以冲突和外部规范的冲击,显示出中东政治的多样性特征。从中长期看,多数中东国家的政治形势将保持整体稳定,但“治理赤字”问题对政治的影响不能低估。

Abstract:Since 2023,the overall political situation of Middle East countries has been stable. Turkey,Iraq,Egypt,Iran,Kuwait,the United Arab Emirates,Oman held various forms of general elections,with little change in the power structure. The situation in Libya,Syria and Yemen is more complicated,and there is still a long way to go to achieve comprehensive peace in these countries. Large-scale protests took place in Iran,Israel and th... 展开

Abstract:Since 2023,the overall political situation of Middle East countries has been stable. Turkey,Iraq,Egypt,Iran,Kuwait,the United Arab Emirates,Oman held various forms of general elections,with little change in the power structure. The situation in Libya,Syria and Yemen is more complicated,and there is still a long way to go to achieve comprehensive peace in these countries. Large-scale protests took place in Iran,Israel and the United Arab Emirates,which were respectively caused by the economic crisis,the Palestinian-Israeli conflict and the international norms,showing the diversity of Middle East politics. In the medium to long term,the political situation in most Middle Eastern countries will remain generally stable,but the political impact of the “governance deficit” problem cannot be underestimated.

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作者简介

朱泉钢:朱泉钢,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所副研究员,中东发展与治理研究中心副主任,中国中东学会副秘书长,主要研究领域为中东政治、中东国际关系、中东国家军政关系问题等。

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