2023~2024年中东政治形势及展望
文章摘要:2023年以来,中东国家政治形势整体稳定。土耳其、伊拉克、埃及、伊朗、科威特、阿联酋、阿曼等国举行大选,但这些国家权力结构变化不大。利比亚、叙利亚和也门三个战乱国家局势更加复杂,全面和平进程仍然步履维艰。伊朗、以色列、阿联酋出现较大规模的抗议活动,三国爆发社会抗议的主要原因分别是经济危机、巴以冲突和外部规范的冲击,显示出中东政治的多样性特征。从中长期看,多数中东国家的政治形势将保持整体稳定,但“治理赤字”问题对政治的影响不能低估。
Abstract:Since 2023,the overall political situation of Middle East countries has been stable. Turkey,Iraq,Egypt,Iran,Kuwait,the United Arab Emirates,Oman held various forms of general elections,with little change in the power structure. The situation in Libya,Syria and Yemen is more complicated,and there is still a long way to go to achieve comprehensive peace in these countries. Large-scale protests took place in Iran,Israel and th... 展开