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新一轮巴以冲突及对中东地区政治安全形势的影响

作者:张元 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2025) 图书作者:中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所 张宇燕 邹治波 出版时间:2025年01月 所属丛书:
报告字数:12901字 报告页数:12页

文章摘要:2023年10月7日,新一轮巴以冲突爆发。此轮冲突除了在加沙地带引发大规模军事对抗外,还产生了四个方面的外溢现象,即以伊两国首次发生直接交锋、也门胡塞武装袭击红海水域目标导致区域安全形势趋紧、以色列与黎巴嫩真主党在黎以边境对抗不断升级、叙利亚和也门政治和解进程又遭新的冲击。此轮巴以冲突对中东地区政治安全形势产生明显影响,一是相关国家寻求发展与缓和的趋势仍存,但阵营对抗将长期扰动中东地区安全稳定;二是中东区域经济遭受负面影响,部分国家非传统安... 展开

文章摘要:2023年10月7日,新一轮巴以冲突爆发。此轮冲突除了在加沙地带引发大规模军事对抗外,还产生了四个方面的外溢现象,即以伊两国首次发生直接交锋、也门胡塞武装袭击红海水域目标导致区域安全形势趋紧、以色列与黎巴嫩真主党在黎以边境对抗不断升级、叙利亚和也门政治和解进程又遭新的冲击。此轮巴以冲突对中东地区政治安全形势产生明显影响,一是相关国家寻求发展与缓和的趋势仍存,但阵营对抗将长期扰动中东地区安全稳定;二是中东区域经济遭受负面影响,部分国家非传统安全问题突出;三是域外大国在中东地区竞争的多极化趋势明显,对待巴以冲突的不同立场也间接影响到中美博弈。

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Abstract:A new round of Israel-Palestine conflict broke out on October 7,2023. In addition to triggering a large-scale military struggle in the Gaza Strip,this conflict also produced four spillover phenomena,namely,the first direct confrontation between Israel and Iran,the Ansar Allah attacking targets in the Red Sea,the escalating crossfire between Israel and Hezbollah on the Lebanese-Israeli border,and the shock to political reconcili... 展开

Abstract:A new round of Israel-Palestine conflict broke out on October 7,2023. In addition to triggering a large-scale military struggle in the Gaza Strip,this conflict also produced four spillover phenomena,namely,the first direct confrontation between Israel and Iran,the Ansar Allah attacking targets in the Red Sea,the escalating crossfire between Israel and Hezbollah on the Lebanese-Israeli border,and the shock to political reconciliation process in Syria and Yemen. This conflict has a significant impact on the political and security situation in the Middle East. First,the trend of relevant countries seeking development and easing still exists,but the confrontation among camps will disturb the stability of the Middle East for a long time;second,the Middle East regional economy has suffered,and some countries have prominent non-traditional security issues;third,the multipolarization trend of competition among powers outside the region is obvious,and the conflict further exacerbates differences between the United States and China.

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作者简介

张元:张元,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所、国家全球战略智库助理研究员,主要研究领域为国际冲突、国际政治经济学、族群冲突、中东南亚地区安全。

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