2024～2025年日本经济：平稳增长后面临压力

Abstract:2023 will be a year of less disruption by external factors for Japanese economy. Japan’s economy has performed better in 2023. However，it should also be noted that the narrowing of the merchandise trade deficit compared with 2022 is an important reason for the increase in Japan’s GDP growth rate，and Japan’s domestic demand，especially consumer demand，is still weak. Entering 2024，although the income of the Japanese people has increased due to the “the spring labor offensive.”，the stimulation of consumption by the increase in income is relatively limited，and the actual growth rate of Japan’s GDP was negative in the first half of 2024 due to the “Noto Peninsula earthquake” and the car company scandal in the first half of 2024. Given the relatively stable economic conditions in 2023，the Bank of Japan also ended its “negative interest rate” policy in March 2024. In the second half of 2024 and 2025，the global economy will face some downward pressure，and the Japan economy may face significant pressure.

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