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全球武装冲突与军事形势评估(2022~2023)

作者:徐进 薄荣康 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2024) 图书作者:张宇燕 邹治波 出版时间:2023年12月 所属丛书:
报告字数:17544字 报告页数:21页

文章摘要:2022~2023年度全球武装冲突的特点是高烈度冲突数量增加,国家间的暴力冲突仍然是数量最多的冲突类型,撒哈拉以南非洲是全面战争级别冲突数量最多的地区。2022~2023年全球武装冲突值得重点关注的事件包括:俄乌冲突不断升级、巴以冲突加剧、亚美尼亚-阿塞拜疆边境危机、苏丹内战和叙利亚持续武装冲突。军事演习方面,受俄乌冲突的影响,2022~2023年世界主要军事大国军事演习的规模和次数有所增多,同时军事演习内容更加丰富,各国越发重视高科技在军事作战中的应用。军... 展开

文章摘要:2022~2023年度全球武装冲突的特点是高烈度冲突数量增加,国家间的暴力冲突仍然是数量最多的冲突类型,撒哈拉以南非洲是全面战争级别冲突数量最多的地区。2022~2023年全球武装冲突值得重点关注的事件包括:俄乌冲突不断升级、巴以冲突加剧、亚美尼亚-阿塞拜疆边境危机、苏丹内战和叙利亚持续武装冲突。军事演习方面,受俄乌冲突的影响,2022~2023年世界主要军事大国军事演习的规模和次数有所增多,同时军事演习内容更加丰富,各国越发重视高科技在军事作战中的应用。军费开支方面,2022年全球军费总额创历史新高,欧洲的军费开支出现了近30年来的最大同比增幅。国防战略层面,传统安全威胁在国防战略中的重要性上升,世界主要军事大国的国防战略更具针对性。同时,随着信息技术与网络技术的发展,各国国防战略都表现出了对新兴技术研发和新兴领域探索的兴趣,注重提升军事作战的现代化水平,增强多领域联合作战能力。

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Abstract:The global armed conflicts in 2022-2023 will be characterized by an increase in the number of high-intensity conflicts. Violent conflicts between states remain the largest type of conflict. Sub-Saharan Africa is the region with the largest number of total war-level conflicts. The events in global armed conflicts in 2022-2023 include:the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine,the intensification of the Palestinian-Israeli con... 展开

Abstract:The global armed conflicts in 2022-2023 will be characterized by an increase in the number of high-intensity conflicts. Violent conflicts between states remain the largest type of conflict. Sub-Saharan Africa is the region with the largest number of total war-level conflicts. The events in global armed conflicts in 2022-2023 include:the escalating conflict between Russia and Ukraine,the intensification of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict,the Armenia-Azerbaijan border crisis,the Sudanese civil war,and the ongoing armed conflict in Syria. In terms of military exercises,affected by the conflict between Russia and Ukraine,the scale and frequency of military exercises by the world’s major military powers have increased from 2022 to 2023. At the same time,the content of military exercises has become richer,and countries are paying more and more attention to the application of high technology in military operations. In terms of military spending,total global military spending hit a record high in 2022,and European military spending saw the largest year-on-year increase in the past 30 years. At the national defense strategy level,the importance of traditional security threats in national defense strategy has increased,and the national defense strategies of the world’s major military powers have become more targeted. At the same time,with the development of information technology and network technology,the national defense strategies of various countries have shown the exploration of emerging technology research and development and emerging fields,focusing on improving the modernization level of military operations and enhancing multi-domain joint operations capabilities.

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作者简介

徐进:徐进,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所研究员,主要研究领域为国际关系理论和国际安全问题。

薄荣康:薄荣康,中国社会科学院大学国际政治经济学院2021级博士研究生。

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