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2017年热点事件中的网络舆论演变分析

作者:曾凡斌 程小妹 出版日期:2018年11月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:12076 字 所属丛书:互联网与国家治理蓝皮书 所属图书:互联网与国家治理发展报告(2018) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:本文采用案例分析法,选取了2017年热点事件中的“4·14辱母杀人案”、“求职少年李文星之死”和“江歌事件”,对这三例案件的网络舆论发展进行分析,指出网络舆论可划分为四阶段,分别为潜伏期、发展期、高峰期与衰退期。在潜伏期,敏感性的议题与网民的心理框架会催生议题进一步发酵;在发展期,意见领袖会促成舆论的成长与扩散,传统媒体与新兴媒体相互借力,助推舆论走向高峰;在高峰期,舆论场人声鼎沸,情绪与理性并存,新鲜信息的输入会导致其出现波动;在衰退期,伴... 展开

文章摘要:本文采用案例分析法,选取了2017年热点事件中的“4·14辱母杀人案”、“求职少年李文星之死”和“江歌事件”,对这三例案件的网络舆论发展进行分析,指出网络舆论可划分为四阶段,分别为潜伏期、发展期、高峰期与衰退期。在潜伏期,敏感性的议题与网民的心理框架会催生议题进一步发酵;在发展期,意见领袖会促成舆论的成长与扩散,传统媒体与新兴媒体相互借力,助推舆论走向高峰;在高峰期,舆论场人声鼎沸,情绪与理性并存,新鲜信息的输入会导致其出现波动;在衰退期,伴随着事情的解决,议题分散或被新议题覆盖,各方疲乏,最终平息,而没有得到彻底解决的事件,将成为潜在舆情因子。

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Abstract:This paper selected three hot events in 2017,which are “4.14 insults mother killing case”,“the death of a young boy Li Wenxing” and “Jiang Ge incident” respectively. It adopts the case analysis method to figure out the development of Internet public opinion in these three cases. This paper pointed out that Internet public opinion can be divided into four stages,incubation period,development period,peak-hour stage and recess... 展开

Abstract:This paper selected three hot events in 2017,which are “4.14 insults mother killing case”,“the death of a young boy Li Wenxing” and “Jiang Ge incident” respectively. It adopts the case analysis method to figure out the development of Internet public opinion in these three cases. This paper pointed out that Internet public opinion can be divided into four stages,incubation period,development period,peak-hour stage and recession stage. In the incubation period,the sensitive issues and the psychological framework of the netizen will lead to further development of the public opinion;in the development period,the opinion leaders will contribute to the growth and diffusion of public opinion while the cooperation between traditional media and new media helps to push public opinion to the peak;in the peak-hour stage,sense and sensibility coexist in the public opinion and the input of fresh information will lead to fluctuation;in the recession period,as things are solved,issues are scattered or covered by new issues and events that have not been thoroughly solved will become potential public sentiment factors.

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作者简介

曾凡斌:曾凡斌,博士,暨南大学新闻与传播学院副教授;

程小妹:程小妹,暨南大学新闻与传播学院新闻与传播专业研究生。