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战略轻率还是新的均势?

作者:〔俄〕季莫菲·博尔达切夫(TimofeiBordachev) 刘传平 张翔 傅瑜校 出版日期:2018年10月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:13323 字 所属图书:全球秩序(2018年第1期,总第1期) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:毫无疑问,当前是二战以来国际环境变化最为显著的时期。被普遍承认的准则和居于主导地位的国家的缺失成为当前国际局势最重要的特征之一。相互尊重可能是大国,甚至主要大国关系中最为稀缺的东西。中国和美国都将俄罗斯视为潜在盟友,他们正为此而努力。欧洲政治将进入新时期,届时欧洲和作为整体的西方将不再具有影响国际事务的垄断性地位。西方自由主义全球秩序的终结并没有带来一个新的、对所有国家更公正的秩序安排。相反,世界显然已经进入了一个漫长的外交和混合型军... 展开

文章摘要:毫无疑问,当前是二战以来国际环境变化最为显著的时期。被普遍承认的准则和居于主导地位的国家的缺失成为当前国际局势最重要的特征之一。相互尊重可能是大国,甚至主要大国关系中最为稀缺的东西。中国和美国都将俄罗斯视为潜在盟友,他们正为此而努力。欧洲政治将进入新时期,届时欧洲和作为整体的西方将不再具有影响国际事务的垄断性地位。西方自由主义全球秩序的终结并没有带来一个新的、对所有国家更公正的秩序安排。相反,世界显然已经进入了一个漫长的外交和混合型军事对抗的时代。由西方全能力量相对衰弱导致的相对不确定的时期正在结束,一场争夺全球主导权的新的斗争正在上演。

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Abstract:The contemporary time definitely stands out the most for the most significant change in the international context after the end of World War II.The most important feature of the international situation today is the absence of generally recognized rules of the game and dominant players.Mutual respect is probably the scarcest commodity in relations between great or even just major powers.Both China and the United States consider Russia ... 展开

Abstract:The contemporary time definitely stands out the most for the most significant change in the international context after the end of World War II.The most important feature of the international situation today is the absence of generally recognized rules of the game and dominant players.Mutual respect is probably the scarcest commodity in relations between great or even just major powers.Both China and the United States consider Russia as a potential ally and they struggle for it.Europe is entering into a new age in a situation where Europe and the West as a whole will no longer enjoy a monopoly of influence on international affairs.The finale of the Western liberal global order did not lead to a new,more just for all arrangement.The world has entered into an apparently lengthy diplomatic and hybrid-type military confrontation.The period of relative uncertainty,which emerged against the backdrop of a relative weakening of the West's omnipotence,is being replaced with a new struggle for global domination.

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作者简介

〔俄〕季莫菲·博尔达切夫(Timofei Bordachev):季莫菲·博尔达切夫,俄罗斯国立高等经济大学欧洲和国际综合研究中心主任;俄罗斯智库瓦尔代欧亚俱乐部项目部主任。