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2018~2019年中澳关系发展状况与分析

作者:黄家瑜 出版日期:2020年05月 报告页数:14 页 报告大小: 报告字数:15928 字 所属丛书:大洋洲蓝皮书 所属图书:大洋洲发展报告(2018~2019) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:中澳两国过去一年仍然就政治、经济、安全与社会层面等议题存有不同意见,再加上澳大利亚国内政治情势多变,中国问题往往被政客当作政治斗争的工具,双边关系整体来说仍然处于较动荡的状态。本报告从近期中澳两国主要关注的议题、影响双边关系的原因以及未来两国关系发展走向三个方面进行分析,认为中澳对于看待深化彼此经济与政治互动虽仍有歧义,不过随着情势演变,两国关系在中短期内有望“止跌回稳”,维持大框架下相对稳定、小范围内持续纷扰的局面。

Abstract:China and Australia have experienced turbulent bilateral ties in the year of 2018-2019,which has to a large extent spoiled the exchanges between two countries. Even though Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison tried to hold out an olive branch to China to ease the tension,limited progress has been made. This paper argues that the unstable domestic politics in Australia and Canberra’s distrust of China’s rapid rise and its Belt ... 展开

Abstract:China and Australia have experienced turbulent bilateral ties in the year of 2018-2019,which has to a large extent spoiled the exchanges between two countries. Even though Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison tried to hold out an olive branch to China to ease the tension,limited progress has been made. This paper argues that the unstable domestic politics in Australia and Canberra’s distrust of China’s rapid rise and its Belt and Road Initiatives are still the main causes of the current setback in the China-Australia relations. How these two countries see each other is also influenced by the latest development in world politics. Despite that it is unlikely to witness a rapid paced diplomatic thaw between two sides within a short period of time,the bilateral tie is not going to deteriorate either. The strategy of cooperative competition is likely to be the best strategy for both Chinese and Australian leaders to maximize their own national interests in the near future.

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作者简介

黄家瑜:黄家瑜,澳大利亚新南威尔士大学国际政治学博士,中山大学南方学院通识教育中心副主任,主要研究领域为国际政治、中国外交政策、亚太区域安全研究。