2014～2015年拉美经济形势：需求不足，增长乏力

Abstract:In 2014，because of poor economic performance，the growth rate of the Latin America and the Caribbean was only 1.1%，a record low in five years. Especially in South American countries such as Brazil and Argentina，economic performance was well below expectations. Due to the drop in commodity prices，cutting of consumption，and decline in domestic investment，the region was characterized by insufficient demand and sluggish growth economically. But for most countries，international reserve was relatively sufficient，the size of public debt was relatively reasonable，and the rate of inflation and unemployment did not increase obviously. In the region，therefore，macroeconomic situation remained stable. In 2015，it is expected that the economy of the Latin America and the Caribbean will remain weak in growth，but the growth rate is expected to increase slightly. In economic policy，Latin American and the Caribbean countries continued to implement relatively loose fiscal and monetary policy in a bid to solve the problem of insufficient effective demand，but the effects were limited. In the future，due to the limitation in public debt and the rate of inflation，the space of policy choice will be restricted. Stimulating investment will be the main policy goal in the short term，and the government will pay more attention to structural reform in the long run.

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