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2020年应对气候变化:形势与前景

作者:田慧芳 出版日期:2021年01月 报告页数:16 页 报告大小: 报告字数:16102 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2021) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:近年来各个国家、城市、投资者、企业和公众都采取了有力的减排行动,全球应对气候变化取得积极进展。2020年暴发的疫情危机是气候危机和自然灾害将如何威胁全球经济和社会的预警。它考验了各国政府的治理能力和决心。历史的经验表明,随着技术的进步和温室气体排放成本的增加,采取强有力的气候政策可以更好地实现经济复苏并增强经济韧性。本轮疫情危机同样为全球提供了加快向气候友好型未来过渡的契机。欧盟、中国、韩国等都是绿色发展的坚定支持者,在政策设计和财政投入... 展开

文章摘要:近年来各个国家、城市、投资者、企业和公众都采取了有力的减排行动,全球应对气候变化取得积极进展。2020年暴发的疫情危机是气候危机和自然灾害将如何威胁全球经济和社会的预警。它考验了各国政府的治理能力和决心。历史的经验表明,随着技术的进步和温室气体排放成本的增加,采取强有力的气候政策可以更好地实现经济复苏并增强经济韧性。本轮疫情危机同样为全球提供了加快向气候友好型未来过渡的契机。欧盟、中国、韩国等都是绿色发展的坚定支持者,在政策设计和财政投入等多方面为疫情后的经济绿色复苏提供支持。未来全球能否采取更具雄心的行动不仅受疫情持续时间、经济复苏模式以及各国是否采取绿色刺激计划等短期因素影响,也受能否调动足够的资源突破气候融资瓶颈,能否在储能、氢能、碳捕集利用和存储等关键清洁技术上取得突破,以及能否充分激发地方政府、私营部门等非政府行为体的减排潜力等长期因素影响。

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Abstract:In recent years,governments,states and provinces,cities,investors,companies,and the public have all taken vigorous actions to reduce emissions,and the global response to climate change has made positive progress. The outbreak of the epidemic crisis in 2020 is an early warning of how climate crises and natural disasters will threaten the global economy and society. It has also tested the governance capabilities and climate deter... 展开

Abstract:In recent years,governments,states and provinces,cities,investors,companies,and the public have all taken vigorous actions to reduce emissions,and the global response to climate change has made positive progress. The outbreak of the epidemic crisis in 2020 is an early warning of how climate crises and natural disasters will threaten the global economy and society. It has also tested the governance capabilities and climate determination of governments. Historical experience has shown that with technological progress and the cost increase in reducing greenhouse gas emissions,adopting a strong climate policy can better achieve economic recovery and strengthen economic resilience. The current round of the epidemic crisis provides an opportunity for the world to accelerate the transition to an energy-friendly future. The European Union,China,South Korea,etc. are all staunch supporters of green development,providing support for the green recovery of the economy after the epidemic in terms of policy design and financial investment. Whether the world can take more ambitious actions in the future is not only affected by short-term factors such as the duration of the epidemic,economic recovery patterns,and whether countries adopt green stimulus plans,but also by long-term factors such as whether sufficient resources can be mobilized to slove the climate financing bottleneck,whether key clean technologies such as battery storage carbon capture and storage and hydrogen energy can make a breakthrough,and whether the emission reduction potential of local governments,the private sector and other non-governmental actors can be fully stimulated.

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作者简介

田慧芳:田慧芳,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所世界能源研究室副主任、副研究员,主要研究领域为气候政策、CGE模型、全球治理等。