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2019年法国政党格局及政党的新动向

作者:吴国庆 出版日期:2020年09月 报告页数:20 页 报告大小: 报告字数:17728 字 所属丛书:法国蓝皮书 所属图书:法国发展报告(2020) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:马克龙及其共和国前进党执政两年半中,法国政党格局通过参议院改选和第九届欧洲议会选举未发生重大变化,仍然保持中间政党居优的四极化政党格局,但是,法国政党力量发生重大变动。共和国前进党进一步壮大,导致“中间派政治倾向”气势如虹。左翼社会党和法国共产党实力和影响力严重削弱,正在整顿组织、制定政治路线和方针、确定联合和结盟策略,以便东山再起,但复兴道路漫长。欧洲生态-绿党走出低谷。右翼共和人党以及民主人士和独立人士联盟不断地裂变,其实力和影响... 展开

文章摘要:马克龙及其共和国前进党执政两年半中,法国政党格局通过参议院改选和第九届欧洲议会选举未发生重大变化,仍然保持中间政党居优的四极化政党格局,但是,法国政党力量发生重大变动。共和国前进党进一步壮大,导致“中间派政治倾向”气势如虹。左翼社会党和法国共产党实力和影响力严重削弱,正在整顿组织、制定政治路线和方针、确定联合和结盟策略,以便东山再起,但复兴道路漫长。欧洲生态-绿党走出低谷。右翼共和人党以及民主人士和独立人士联盟不断地裂变,其实力和影响力严重衰退,传统选民纷纷离去,正在寻求复兴的道路。极右的国民联盟丑闻缠身又严重分裂,但在民族主义、民粹主义和极端主义思潮盛行的背景下,其影响力有所发展。极左的不屈的法兰西党在2017年大选和立法选举中异军突起,但其实力和影响力因该党的丑闻和分裂迅速缩小。目前法国政党格局和政党力量的变动有利于马克龙及其政党从事的改革。

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Abstract:While President Macron and his party “la République en marche” have been in power during the past two years and a half,the structure of political parties in France haven’t changed much,despite the election of the Senate and the ninth European Parliament election. The middle party is still the dominant force in a quadrupole landscape. However,the balance of power has changed within major parties. La Republique en Marche has stren... 展开

Abstract:While President Macron and his party “la République en marche” have been in power during the past two years and a half,the structure of political parties in France haven’t changed much,despite the election of the Senate and the ninth European Parliament election. The middle party is still the dominant force in a quadrupole landscape. However,the balance of power has changed within major parties. La Republique en Marche has strengthened its influence,while the left-wing Socialist Party and the French Communist Party have been severely weakened. They are restructuring their organizations,formulating political lines and guidelines,and determining their alliance and coalition strategies in order to make a comeback. European Eco-Green Party is out of the bottom. Right-wing Republicans and a coalition of democrats and independents have been splitting continuously,and their strength and influence have been severely declining. Traditional voters have drifted away and are looking for a path to recovery. The far-right Front National,weakened by a series of scandals,has been severely divided. But their influence has somewhat grown thanks to the rise of nationalist,populist and extremist ideas. The far-left,La France insoumise has emerged as an independent political force in the 2017 general elections and legislative elections,but its strength and influence have rapidly shrunken due to the party’s scandals and divisions. The current structure of French political parties and evolution of the party strength are in favor of the reforms undertaken by President Macron and his party.

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作者简介

吴国庆:吴国庆,中国社会科学院欧洲研究所研究员,研究方向为法国政治与社会。

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