南高加索地区政局新变化及其走向

Abstract:In 2019，the South Caucasus witnessed a year of overall stability and subtle change. As the most stable country in the region，Azerbaijan continued to promote its comprehensive economic transformation，encouraged the development of non-energy sectors and tapped the potential of multi-regional connectivity. The new Armenian government consolidated its ruling position and implemented a series of new economic and foreign policies aiming at exploring new development models and expanding international space. Georgia was embroiled in disputes among ruling party and oppositions over the reform of electoral system，and the domestic political deadlock would be difficult to resolve in the short term. The South Caucasus countries still faced challenges in domestic political and economic development and risks such as regional hotspots and geo-strategic competition among external powers. Nevertheless，factors conducive to regional stability outweigh potential risks，and the region is expected to maintain overall stability.

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