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大国关系与国际格局(2022~2023)

作者:李冲 邹治波 出版日期:2023年12月 报告页数:19 页 报告大小: 报告字数:22608 字 所属丛书:国际形势黄皮书 所属图书:全球政治与安全报告(2024) 浏览人数: 下载人数:

文章摘要:2022~2023年,中俄关系持续稳定发展;中美关系出现缓和氛围但仍在低位;美俄关系陷入深度危机;中欧关系遭遇困难但合作空间仍在;俄欧对立加剧,美欧合作虽依旧密切但欧洲国家理性声音提高。国际格局受国家实力和国家间战略关系的影响,当国家实力短期内不会发生显著增减时,大国间战略关系的变化对国际格局的影响愈加突出。在美国对华战略竞争态势加剧、乌克兰危机延宕升级的背景下,国际关系中的大国竞争色彩更加明显,国际格局“东升西降”的发展态势与“西强东弱”的... 展开

文章摘要:2022~2023年,中俄关系持续稳定发展;中美关系出现缓和氛围但仍在低位;美俄关系陷入深度危机;中欧关系遭遇困难但合作空间仍在;俄欧对立加剧,美欧合作虽依旧密切但欧洲国家理性声音提高。国际格局受国家实力和国家间战略关系的影响,当国家实力短期内不会发生显著增减时,大国间战略关系的变化对国际格局的影响愈加突出。在美国对华战略竞争态势加剧、乌克兰危机延宕升级的背景下,国际关系中的大国竞争色彩更加明显,国际格局“东升西降”的发展态势与“西强东弱”的现实并存。

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Abstract:From 2022 to 2023,China-Russian relationship continues to develop steadily. China-U.S. relations see an atmosphere of détente,but remain at a low level. U.S.-Russian relationship is facing a serious crisis. China-Europe relations will encounter difficulties,but there will still be room for cooperation. Russian-European antagonism is still intensify. The U.S.-European trans-Atlantic alliance cooperates closely,but the voices of rat... 展开

Abstract:From 2022 to 2023,China-Russian relationship continues to develop steadily. China-U.S. relations see an atmosphere of détente,but remain at a low level. U.S.-Russian relationship is facing a serious crisis. China-Europe relations will encounter difficulties,but there will still be room for cooperation. Russian-European antagonism is still intensify. The U.S.-European trans-Atlantic alliance cooperates closely,but the voices of rationality in European countries raises. The international pattern is influenced by states’ capacity and strategic relations. When there is no significant increase or decrease in states capacity in the short term,changes in the strategic relations among the major powers are playing an increasingly prominent role in the changes in the international pattern. In the situation where the strategic competition between China and the United States intensifies,the Ukrainian crisis escalates,the “great power competition” in international relations become more obvious. The development trend of “the rise of the east and the decline of the west” coexists with the reality of “the strong West and the weak East” in the international pattern.

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作者简介

李冲:李冲,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所助理研究员,主要研究领域为联盟政治、国际冲突、全球治理。

邹治波:邹治波,中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所副所长、研究员,主要研究领域为国际关系、战略安全。