2009~2010年世界经济形势分析与展望
文章摘要:2009年是全球经济负增长的一年。目前全球金融危机已大体上得到控制,受其波及和拖累的世界经济已经显露出各种复苏的迹象。与此同时,有关世界经济形势及走势的各种主要指标给出的信号方向不一,许多深层次问题在中短期内得到根本性解决的难度甚大,故断言世界经济已经全面摆脱衰退、进入周期性复苏还为时尚早。总体而言,尽管存在着出现第二次衰退的可能性,但2010年全球经济实现低速正增长的概率要更大一些。
Abstract:2009 witnessed negative growth of world real output for the first time since the Second World War. Now the global financial crisis is under controlled,and the world economy has shown some signs of bottoming out. But it is still too early to assert that the world economy has entered the stage of solid and sustainable recovery,for the major economic indicators give very different signals about the current situation and the future tren... 展开